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We develop a statistical framework to evaluate evidence of alleged cheating involving illegal signaling in sports from a forensic perspective. We explain why, instead of a frequentist procedure, a Bayesian approach is called for. We apply this framework to cases of alleged cheating in professional bridge and professional baseball. The diversity of these applications illustrates the generality of the method.
On the basis of analytical results, we present a numerical example that indicates inconsistency of a widely used ansatz with cubically nonlinear Schrödinger equation.
Vedral claims that the Schrödinger picture can describe quantum systems as locally as the Heisenberg picture, relying on a product notation for the density matrix. Here, I refute that claim. I show that the so-called `local factors' in the product notation do not correspond to individual systems and therefore fail to satisfy Einsteinian locality. Furthermore, the product notation does not track where local gates are applied. Finally, I expose internal inconsistencies in the argument: if, as is also stated, Schrödinger-picture locality ultimately depends on explicit bookkeeping of all operations, then the explanatory power of the product notation is de facto undermined.
We have studied LK-99 [Pb$_{10-x}$Cu$_x$(PO$_4$)$_6$O], alleged by Lee et al. to exhibit superconductivity above room temperature and at ambient pressure, and have reproduced all anomalies in electric and magnetic measurements that they reported as evidence for the claim of LK-99 being an ambient-pressure, room-temperature superconductor. We found that these anomalies are associated with the structural transition of the Cu$_2$S impurity in their sample and not with superconductivity.
The threat of reconstruction attacks has led the U.S. Census Bureau (USCB) to replace in the Decennial Census 2020 the traditional statistical disclosure limitation based on rank swapping with one based on differential privacy (DP), leading to substantial accuracy loss of released statistics. Yet, it has been argued that, if many different reconstructions are compatible with the released statistics, most of them do not correspond to actual original data, which protects against respondent reidentification. Recently, a new attack has been proposed, which incorporates the confidence that a reconstructed record was in the original data. The alleged risk of disclosure entailed by such confidence-ranked reconstruction has renewed the interest of the USCB to use DP-based solutions. To forestall a potential accuracy loss in future releases, we show that the proposed reconstruction is neither effective as a reconstruction method nor conducive to disclosure as claimed by its authors. Specifically, we report empirical results showing the proposed ranking cannot guide reidentification or attribute disclosure attacks, and hence fails to warrant the utility sacrifice entailed by the use of DP to
Despite frequent references in modern reviews to a seventeenth-century Venetian longitude prize, only a single, circumstantial reference to the alleged prize is known from contemporary sources. Edward Harrison's scathing assessment of the conditions governing the award of an alleged Venetian longitude prize simultaneously disparages the rewards offered by the Dutch States General. However, the latter had long run its course by 1696, the year of the citation, thus rendering Harrison's reference unreliable. Whereas other longitude awards offered by the leading European maritime nations attracted applicants from far and wide, often accompanied by extensive, self-published pamphlets, the alleged Venetian prize does not seem to have been subject to similar hype. The alleged existence of seventeenth-century Venetian award is particularly curious, because the city's fortune was clearly in decline, and longitude determination on the open seas does not appear to have been a priority; the city's mariners already had access to excellent "portolan" charts. It is therefore recommended that authors refrain from referring to a potentially phantom Venetian longitude prize in the same context as th
In 1980 Kowal and Drake found that in December 1612 and January 1613 Galileo observed the planet Neptune. At that time, according to these authors, Galileo was able to measure angular separations with an accuracy of about 10 seconds of arc. However, as noticed by Kowal and Drake, the position of Neptune reported by Galileo is wrong with respect to the position computed with the modern ephemeris of about 1 minute of arc. This led Kowal and Drake to speculate on the possible errors of modern ephemeris of Neptune and sparked some debate about Neptune's ephemeris and/or possible errors in Galileo's measures. Until today this anomaly has remained without a conclusive answer. Here we show that, in addition to the random errors, there are other significant measurement errors present in Galileo's observations. These errors may help clarify the origin of the alleged anomalies in the position of Neptune.
In 1614, the German astronomer Simon Mayr published his claim to have discovered the satellites of Jupiter. Writing in the treatise Mundus Jovialis, Mayr made his assertion in a convoluted but unequivocal manner, earning the displeasure of Galileo Galilei, who published his harsh protest in 1623 in Il Saggiatore. Though objections of Galileo were fallacious in some respects, and though numerous scholars took to the field to prove claim of Mayr, none ever really succeeded, and the historical evidence remains to detriment of Mayr. On the basis of such historical evidence, including comparisons between Mundus Jovialis and earlier works of Mayr, independent discovery of the satellites by Mayr can be ruled out. Indeed, it is very likely that he never observed them before 30 December 1610, nearly a year after Galileo. The absence of a corpus of observations by Mayr and the inaccuracy of his tables are also puzzling.
We report the discovery of a small cluster of massive stars embedded in a NIR nebula in the direction of the IRAS15411-5352 point source, which is related to the alleged planetary nebula W16-185. The majority of the stars present large NIR excess characteristic of young stellar objects and have bright counterparts in the Spitzer IRAC images; the most luminous star (IRS1) is the NIR counterpart of the IRAS source. We found very strong unresolved Brgamma emission at the IRS1 position and more diluted and extended emission across the continuum nebula. From the sizes and electron volume densities we concluded that they represent ultra-compact and compact HII regions, respectively. Comparing the Brgamma emission with the 7 mm free-free emission, we estimated that the visual extinction ranges between 14 and 20 mag. We found that only one star (IRS1) can provide the number of UV photons necessary to ionize the nebula.
In a recent paper in Antiquity (Darvill 2022), the author has proposed that the project of the <<sarsen>> phase (stage 2) of Stonehenge (c. 2600 BC) was conceived in order to represent a calendar year of 365.25 days, that is, a calendar identical in duration to the Julian calendar. The aim of the present paper is to show that this idea is totally unsubstantiated, being based as it is on a series of forced interpretations and unsupported analogies.
The photometric evolution of M31-RV has been investigated on 1447 plates of the Andromeda galaxy obtained over half a century with the Asiago telescopes. M31-RV is a gigantic stellar explosion that occurred during 1988 in the Bulge of M31 and that was characterized by the appearance for a few months of an M supergiant reaching M_bol=-10. The 1988 outburst has been positively detected on Asiago plates, and it has been the only such event recorded over the period covered by the plates (1942-1993). In particular, an alleged previous outburst in 1967 (Sharov 1990, SvAL, 16, 199) is excluded by the more numerous and deeper Asiago plates, with relevant implication for the interpretative models of this unique event. We outline a close analogy in spectral and photometric evolution with those of V838 Mon which exploded in our Galaxy in 2002. The analogy is found to extend also to the closely similar absolute magnitude at the time of the sudden drop in photospheric temperature that both M31-RV and V838 Mon exhibited. These similarities, in spite of the greatly differing metallicity, age and mass of the two objects, suggest that the same, universal and not yet identified process was at work i
We present a medium-resolution optical spectrum of the alleged high-redshift quasar Q0045-3337, taken at the ESO/3.6m telescope. Our observations show that the object is not a quasar but a star of spectral type B. We suggest that the object is either a white dwarf or a halo population Blue Horizontal Branch star.
Tesla touts Autopilot as lifesaving a day after grandmother died in crash
Graphene may be a fascinating material but at this time there exists no experimental or theoretical evidence that it can improve performance of practical nonlinear optical devices.
The diffuse gamma-ray background radiation (GBR) at high Galactic latitudes could be dominated by inverse Compton scattering (ICS) of cosmic ray (CR) electrons on the cosmic microwave background radiation (CBR) and on starlight (SL) in an extended CR halo of our galaxy. Assuming the locally observed CR electron spectrum beyond a few GeV, which follows from equilibrium between Fermi acceleration and radiative cooling, to be a universal spectrum throughout our galaxy and its CR halo, we reproduce the observed spectral index, the intensity and the angular dependence of the GBR, in directions away from the galactic disk and centre, without recourse to hypothetical extragalactic sources.
It has recently been claimed that there is significant coherence between the spectral peaks of the global temperature series over the last 160 years and those of the speed of the solar center of mass at periods of 10-10.5, 20-21, 30 and 60-62 years. Here it is shown that these claims are based on a comparison between spectral peaks in spectral estimates that assume that the global temperature data contains time-invariant spectral lines. However, time-frequency analysis using both windowed periodograms and the maximum entropy method shows that this is not the case. An estimate of the magnitude squared coherence shows instead that under certain conditions only coherence at a period of 15-17 years can be found in the data. As this result builds on a low number of independent averages and also is unwarranted from any physical model it is doubtful whether it is significant.
The nonlocal and topological nature of the molecular Aharonov-Bohm (MAB) effect is examined for real electronic Hamiltonians. A notion of preferred gauge for MAB is suggested. The MAB effect in the linear + quadratic $E\otimes ε$ Jahn-Teller system is shown to be essentially analogues to an anisotropic Aharonov-Casher effect for an electrically neutral spin$-{1/2}$ particle encircling a certain configuration of lines of charge.
Both Noise Radar and Quantum Radar, with some alleged common features, exploit the randomness of the transmitted signal to enhance radar covertness and to reduce mutual interference. While Noise Radar has been prototypically developed and successfully tested in many environments by different organizations, the significant investments on Quantum Radar seem not to be followed by practically operating prototypes or demonstrators. Starting from the trivial fact that radar detection depends on the energy transmitted on the target and backscattered by it, some detailed evaluations in this work show that the detection performance of all the proposed QR types in the literature are orders of magnitude below the ones of a much simpler and cheaper equivalent classica radar set, in particular of the NR type. Moreover, the absence of a, sometimes alleged, Quantum radar cross section different from the radar cross section is explained. Hence, the various Quantum Radar proposals cannot lead to any useful result, especially, but not limited to, the alleged detection of stealth targets.
In March of 2022, Network battalion 65 (NB65), a hacktivist affiliate of Anonymous, publicly asserted its successful breach of ROSCOSMOS's satellite imaging capabilities in response to Russia's invasion of Ukraine. NB65 disseminated a series of primary sources as substantiation, proclaiming the incapacitation of ROSCOSMOS's space-based vehicle monitoring system and doxing of related proprietary documentation. Despite the profound implications of hacktivist incursions into the space sector, the event has garnered limited attention due to the obscurity of technical attack vectors and ROCOSMOS's denial of NB65's allegations. Through analysis of NB65's released primary sources of evidence, this paper uncovers the probable vulnerabilities and exploits that enabled the alleged breach into ROSCOSMOS's ground and space segment. Additionally, we highlight lessons learned and the consequences this event has for the global aerospace community.
This paper presents the first dataset for Japanese Legal Judgment Prediction (LJP), the Japanese Tort-case Dataset (JTD), which features two tasks: tort prediction and its rationale extraction. The rationale extraction task identifies the court's accepting arguments from alleged arguments by plaintiffs and defendants, which is a novel task in the field. JTD is constructed based on annotated 3,477 Japanese Civil Code judgments by 41 legal experts, resulting in 7,978 instances with 59,697 of their alleged arguments from the involved parties. Our baseline experiments show the feasibility of the proposed two tasks, and our error analysis by legal experts identifies sources of errors and suggests future directions of the LJP research.