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The novel e-cigarette product JUUL has experienced rapid market growth. The online auction site eBay has been mentioned as a source of JUUL access for youth, and the US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) notified eBay to remove JUUL listings in April 2018. We sought to characterise the sale of JUUL products on eBay prior to the FDA's request, document the impact of this request and explore ways in which eBay vendors bypassed this effort. eBay was searched for JUUL-branded products sold by US vendors in March 2018, yielding a sample of 197 listings for devices and/or pods. Each listing was coded for product, listing and youth access content. Following FDA action, each listing was revisited to determine its status, and each vendor's page was searched for JUUL and other vaping content. Data were analysed using descriptive statistics. Of 197 eBay listings, 189 were for JUUL kits and 13 were for pods. Prices were on average higher than those on the official JUUL store, and language about age restrictions was rare. Following FDA contact, most listings were no longer active. However, 3.4% of these vendors still sold JUUL devices or pods and 15.5% were selling other vaporisers or nicotine products. Online platforms may lack the will or expertise to effectively monitor content for tobacco products, while vendors quickly adapt to minor changes with simple strategies such as spelling variations. Accurate identification of online e-cigarette vendors is essential to the enforcement of policy and may benefit from cross-sector partnerships.
How low is the ideal first offer? Prior to any negotiation, decision-makers must balance a crucial tradeoff between two opposing effects. While lower first offers benefit buyers by anchoring the price in their favor, an overly ambitious offer increases the impasse risk, thus potentially precluding an agreement altogether. Past research with simulated laboratory or classroom exercises has demonstrated either a first offer's anchoring benefits or its impasse risk detriments, while largely ignoring the other effect. In short, there is no empirical answer to the conundrum of how low an ideal first offer should be. Our results from over 26 million incentivized real-world negotiations on eBay document (a) a linear anchoring effect of buyer offers on sales price, (b) a nonlinear, quartic effect on impasse risk, and (c) specific offer values with particularly low impasse risks but high anchoring benefits. Integrating these findings suggests that the ideal buyer offer lies at 80% of the seller's list price across all products-although this value ranges from 33% to 95% depending on the type of product, demand, and buyers' weighting of price versus impasse risk. We empirically amend the well-known midpoint bias, the assumption that buyer and seller eventually meet in the middle of their opening offers, and find evidence for a "buyer bias." Product demand moderates the (non)linear effects, the ideal buyer offer, and the buyer bias. Finally, we apply machine learning analyses to predict impasses and present a website with customizable first-offer advice configured to different products, prices, and buyers' risk preferences.
Stemming the illegal trade of endangered species is a critical and very difficult challenge for conservationists and law enforcement. Much effort is given to stopping the trade of "charismatic megafauna" such as tigers, elephants, and rhinoceroses. Endangered plant species, however, receive far less attention and fewer resources, resulting in devastating consequences. Plant species continue to go extinct due to illegal harvesting and selling, while just one order of plants, Orchidales, makes up more than 70% of all threatened wildlife species. This study examines the role the Internet plays in critically endangered plant transactions. Rather than focusing on the dark web for these sales, I search the e-commerce site eBay to better understand the extent to which these trades take place in plain sight. Of the 193 critically endangered plant species examined, 56 were for sale in some form on eBay during the study period. These results indicate a high degree of trading in these species, but do not necessarily indicate criminality. The complexity of the international legal frameworks regulating these transactions makes it difficult to ascertain their legality, but certain indicators point to at least a subset of these sales being unlawful. E-commerce sites like eBay must take more proactive measures to regulate sales and protect these species on the brink, for it is clear the surface web is playing an understudied and important role in fostering these cybercrimes. In sum, the dark web is unnecessary when the surface web is convenient, widely available, and scarcely policed.
Although led by a central corporate group, continuity planning at eBay is conducted by a community of planners native to their own departments. True programme success requires the full participation of these planners. This paper presents a case study of eBay's experience in achieving and maintaining planner engagement.
The evolutionary theory of language predicts that a language will tend towards fewer synonyms for a given object. We subject this and related predictions to empirical tests, using data from the eBay Big Data Lab which let us access all records of the words used by eBay vendors in their item titles, and by consumers in their searches. We find support for the predictions of the evolutionary theory of language. In particular, the mapping from object to words sharpens over time on both sides of the market, i.e. among consumers and among vendors. In addition, the word mappings used on the two sides of the market become more similar over time. Our research contributes to the literature on language evolution by reporting results of a truly unique large-scale empirical study.
Internet sales of human remains occur despite the existence of laws prohibiting such action in most jurisdictions. The most popular public platform for online sales, eBay, allows users to postskeletal material for sale, largely anonymously and without much fear of legal repercussions. This survey of skeletal sales was conducted 10 years after the first article published about online human remains sales. A review of current laws reveals that, while many states have laws that restrict any sale of human remains, those laws have questionable deterrent effect. Assessing the skeletal material posted for sale provides law enforcement agencies with a necessary starting point to curtail the sale of human remains through enforcement of existing laws. Ultimately, the goal is to stem the commodification of such items and to recover skeletal material, especially that which may be of archaeological or forensic significance, and provide the proper final disposition for such material.
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Local online marketplaces are being launched in many cities in order to better digitally position inner-city retailers against the backdrop of structural change. This article sheds light on the structures and actors involved in the implementation of eBay Deine Stadt, an initiative for local online marketplaces by eBay that has been established in more than 30 cities and regions in Germany since 2020. Based on expert interviews with a consulting firm commissioned by eBay for the implementation, as well as with municipal actors, the initial experiences, expectations, and criticisms are discussed. The goal was to conduct an initial evaluation of the local online marketplace program eBay Deine Stadt. The article thereby focuses on the role of eBay as an infrastructure provider and cooperation partner, as well as the associated processes, problems, and expectations. Based on the findings, further questions concerning future dynamics of city centres will be identified. Vielerorts werden lokale Onlinemarktplätze ins Lebens gerufen, um innerstädtische Einzelhändler*innen vor dem Hintergrund des Strukturwandels, der coronabedingt verstärkt wurde, digital besser aufzustellen. Anhand eBay Deine Stadt, einer Initiative für lokale Onlinemarktplätze von eBay, die seit 2020 in Deutschland in bislang über 30 Städten und Regionen etabliert wurde, beleuchtet der Artikel die Strukturen und Akteur*innen, die an der Umsetzung der Initiative beteiligt sind. Auf Grundlage von Expert*inneninterviews mit einem von eBay für die Umsetzung beauftragten Beratungsunternehmen sowie kommunalen Akteur*innen werden erste Erfahrungen, Erwartungen und Kritikpunkte erhoben und diskutiert. Ziel ist es, eine anfängliche Evaluation des sich noch im Aufbau befindlichen lokalen Onlinemarktplatz-Programms eBay Deine Stadt durchzuführen. Dabei stehen insbesondere die Rolle eBays als Infrastrukturgeber und Kooperationspartner sowie die damit einhergehenden Prozesse, Probleme und Erwartungen im Vordergrund. Darauf basierend werden weiterführende Fragestellungen zu zukünftigen Dynamiken von Innenstädten identifiziert.
Online auction is a cornerstone of e-commerce, and a key challenge is designing incentive-compatible mechanisms that maximize expected revenue. Existing approaches often assume known bidder value distributions and fixed sets of bidders and items, but these assumptions rarely hold in real-world settings where bidder values are unknown, and the number of future participants is uncertain. In this article, we introduce the Conformal Online Auction Design (COAD), a novel mechanism that maximizes revenue by quantifying uncertainty in bidder values without relying on known distributions. COAD incorporates both bidder and item features, using historical data to design an incentive-compatible mechanism for online auctions. Unlike traditional methods, COAD leverages distribution-free uncertainty quantification techniques and integrates machine learning methods, such as random forests, kernel methods, and deep neural networks, to predict bidder values while ensuring revenue guarantees. Moreover, COAD introduces bidder-specific reserve prices, based on the lower confidence bounds of bidder valuations, contrasting with the single reserve price commonly used in the literature. We demonstrate the practical effectiveness of COAD through an application to real-world eBay auction data. Theoretical results and extensive simulation studies further validate the properties of our approach. Supplementary materials for this article are available online, including a standardized description of the materials available for reproducing the work.
Since its inception in North America in 1999, the Pokémon trading card game has become a global phenomenon, combining strategic gameplay with collectible culture. The economic value of Pokémon trading cards, particularly as collector's items, underscores their significance beyond mere playthings, making them a subject of both academic and commercial interest. In the present study, a convenience sample of 300 Pokémon trading cards were offered on the e-commerce platform eBay between 28 May 2024 and 27 May 2025, with a minimum follow-up period of 3 months per card. All cards were sold nationally in Germany to avoid high shipping costs for international transactions. The aim of the study was to comprehensively analyze sales characteristics of Pokémon trading cards, using both descriptive and inferential statistical techniques including "survival" analyses and Cox regression models. 73.3% (220/300) of the trading cards were sold during the study period, generating a total revenue of 923.60 €. Sales prices showed a markedly skewed distribution, with a median of 1.95 € per trading card. Rare and holofoil cards contributed overproportionately to the total revenue. Uncommon cards exhibited an interesting economic potential due to rapid sales kinetics. Cards from the expansions Team Rocket and Gym Challenge were considerably more popular than Base Set 2 cards, as reflected by shorter "survival" times. The vast majority of buyers were male, but female buyers spent more money per trading card on average. The German federal states Thuringia and Hamburg emerged as Pokémon trading card hubs, with numbers of cards sold and cumulated revenues exceeding expectations based on population sizes.
Logistical and financial barriers to accessing medical equipment through registered suppliers may push people to use online peer-to-peer marketplaces. We sought to characterise the availability of standard wheelchairs sold on these platforms. From March 21-26, 2025, we searched for "manual wheelchairs" across five commonly used online peer-to-peer marketplace platforms (Facebook Marketplace, Craigslist, eBay, OfferUp and Mercari) in an urban zip code (55455). We extracted the first 20 results per platform with at least 1 photo. We extracted information, including asking price, reported retail price, reported condition, etc. We aggregated data across platforms and used descriptive analysis to characterise listings. We identified and included 67 wheelchair listings. The median (IQR) asking price was $150 ($102-$270). Sellers reported that 33 (49%) wheelchairs were in "new or like new" condition, 30 (45%) were in "used or good" condition, and 4 (6%) noted deficiencies such as missing wheels. Twelve listings featured 1-2 photos (18%), 24 (36%) featured 3-5 photos, and 31 (46%) listings featured >5 photos. Fifty-three (79%) listings offered shipping; median (IQR) shipping price $19 ($0-$41). Fifty-six (84%) were from individuals, while 11 (16%) were listed by businesses. The abundant listings for manual wheelchairs on online peer-to-peer marketplaces represent a workaround to current barriers in access through traditional, regulated sources. While these options improve access to critical medical equipment in the short term, they mask underlying systemic issues and put vulnerable individuals at risk. Future directions could explore policies to improve access and regulation of online wheelchair sales. Patients in need of mobility devices such as wheelchairs face several logistical, time, and financial barriers to accessing critical equipment through regulated suppliers.They may seek to bypass traditional supply routes and use ‘‘cash pay’’ to access wheelchairs through online peer-to-peer marketplaces.We found abundant listings for manual wheelchairs on online peer-to-peer marketplaces, both by private individuals and businesses.Without mechanisms to verify appropriateness or condition, wheelchairs purchased through online peer-to-peer marketplaces may not meet established global standards for wheelchair provision.While such workarounds may ease access to critical medical equipment in the short term, they mask underlying systemic issues and put vulnerable individuals with poor health literacy at risk.
Advances in omics technologies, such as epigenomics and metabolomics, provide novel insights into the biological mechanisms underlying Alzheimer's disease (AD). However, little is known how different omics layers interact and jointly relate to AD neuropathology. We performed a comprehensive single- and multi-omics analysis integrating genome-wide DNA methylation and high-resolution metabolomics data from 157 frontal cortex samples. We developed novel single and multi-omics profile scores (PS) for AD pathology, using a combination of machine learning, regression, and pathway analysis. For the ABC score (Amyloid, Braak, CERAD) the PS of DNAm outperformed metabolomics-based PS (median R†: 0.11 vs. 0.04). Combining both omics layers with the best-performing multi-omics PS yielded a partial R† of 0.15 for the ABC score independent of age, sex, race and socioeconomic factors. DNAm-specific pathways highlighted redox balance, immune activation, synaptic signaling, and lipid biosynthesis, whereas metabolomics-specific pathways emphasized inflammatory, hormonal, lipid, and energy metabolism. Notably, both omics layers converged on lipid metabolism and signal transduction as shared biological systems implicated in AD neuropathology. Despite limited gains in predictive accuracy, integrative pathway and network analyses of DNAm and metabolomics PS converged on lipid metabolism and signal transduction, underscoring shared biological mechanisms and the value of multi-omics approaches for biological insight rather than prediction alone.
In recent years, machine learning and artificial intelligence approaches have been increasingly applied in the context of toxicological risk assessment. Many published overview, review, and comment papers discuss advantages, disadvantages, success stories, and open challenges for the application of machine learning models in toxicology. Machine learning methods using information from in vitro experiments can help to avoid animal experiments, thus allowing for larger numbers of experiments to be conducted. Drawbacks of machine learning models are the lack of mechanistic interpretability and the need for large amounts of high-quality data. In this work, we present a literature review of papers indexed in PubMed or published in the journal Computational Toxicology in the years 2022 to 2024, to assess the usage of machine learning methods in toxicology as well as the practices in reporting of methods and corresponding results. We do not address the suitability or the performance of methods, which is impossible to assess objectively without reanalysis on raw data, but focus on common practices and gaps in reporting. Major results are that many different machine learning methods are used in toxicology, often with appropriate internal validation. However, in only half of the cases, interpretation methods are used to address the problem that these models often make predictions as a black box. Moreover, there are very frequent gaps in reporting, in particular related to handling of missing values, and availability of data and code. Thus, this review can serve as a starting point for further tailored methodological research and guidance.
A standard assumption in game theory is that decision-makers have preplanned strategies telling them what actions to take for every contingency. In contrast, nonstrategic decisions often involve an on-the-spot comparison process, with longer response times (RT) for choices between more similarly appealing options. If strategic decisions also exhibit these patterns, then RT might betray private information and alter game theory predictions. Here, we examined bargaining behavior to determine whether RT reveals private information in strategic settings. Using preexisting and experimental data from eBay, we show that both buyers and sellers take hours longer to accept bad offers and to reject good offers. We find nearly identical patterns in the two datasets, indicating a causal effect of offer size on RT. However, this relationship is half as strong for rejections as for acceptances, reducing the amount of useful private information revealed by the sellers. Counter to our predictions, buyers are discouraged by slow rejections-they are less likely to counteroffer to slow sellers. We also show that a drift-diffusion model (DDM), traditionally limited to decisions on the order of seconds, can account for decisions on the order of hours, sometimes days. The DDM reveals that more experienced sellers are less cautious and more inclined to accept offers. In summary, strategic decisions are inconsistent with preplanned strategies. This underscores the need for game theory to incorporate RT as a strategic variable and broadens the applicability of the DDM to slow decisions.
The most effective and expedient way to improve the supply of the population with the essential nutrients is additional enrichment of food and the use of functional food, food for special dietary uses and dietary supplements in nutrition. One of the micronutrient delivery systems is liposome - microscopic phospholipid vesicle. The purpose of the review was to characterize the methods of obtaining liposomal forms of nutrients, to analyze the range of liposomal forms of nutrients of domestic and foreign production. Material and methods. Literature data were searched using library platforms PubMed, eLIBRARY, scholar.google mainly for the last 5 years, by keywords: liposomes; liposomal dietary supplements. E-commerce platforms (pharmacy aggregators Apteka.ru, Yuteka, marketplaces Amazon, ebay) have been analyzed. Results. The review describes classification, methods of obtaining liposomal forms of nutrients. Foreign manufacturers produce liposomal forms of individual vitamins (D3, B12, C) and their combinations, mineral elements (magnesium, iron), as well as coenzyme Q10, peptides. Liposomal forms of individual vitamins (A, B9, C), iron, vitamin B complex, glutathione had been registered in the Russian Federation as dietary supplements. There are evidences of a faster increase in serum calcidiol level compared to the oil form when taking vitamin D3 in liposomal form and improved correction of iron deficiency in patients when using liposomal forms of iron. Conclusion. The creation of liposomal forms of micronutrients is a promising direction for the production of foods for special dietary uses.
This chapter discusses multifractal texture estimation and characterization of brain lesions (necrosis, edema, enhanced tumor, nonenhanced tumor, etc.) in magnetic resonance (MR) images. This work formulates the complex texture of tumor in MR images using a stochastic model known as multifractional Brownian motion (mBm). Mathematical derivations of the mBm model and corresponding algorithm to extract the spatially varying multifractal texture feature are discussed. Extracted multifractal texture feature is fused with other effective features to enhance the tissue characteristics. Segmentation of the tissues is performed using a feature-based classification method. The efficacy of the mBm texture feature in segmenting different abnormal tissues is demonstrated using a large-scale publicly available clinical dataset. Experimental results and performance of the methods confirm the efficacy of the proposed technique in an automatic segmentation of abnormal tissues in multimodal (T1, T2, Flair, and T1contrast) brain MRIs.