Many models of opinion dynamics include measures of distance between opinions. Such models are susceptible to boundary effects where the choice of the topology of the opinion space may influence the dynamics. In this paper we study an opinion dynamics model following the seminal model by Axelrod, with the goal of understanding the effect of a toroidal opinion space. To do this we systematically compare two versions of the model: one with toroidal opinion space and one with cubic opinion space. In their most basic form the two versions of our model result in similar dynamics (consensus is attained eventually). However, as we include bounded confidence and eventually per agent weighting of opinion elements the dynamics become quite contrasting. The toroidal opinion space consistently allows for a greater number of groups in steady state than the cubic opinion space model. Furthermore, the outcome of the dynamics in the toroidal opinion space model are more sensitive to the inclusion of extensions than in the cubic opinion space model.
Opinion summarisation is a task that aims to condense the information presented in the source documents while retaining the core message and opinions. A summary that only represents the majority opinions will leave the minority opinions unrepresented in the summary. In this paper, we use the stance towards a certain target as an opinion. We study bias in opinion summarisation from the perspective of opinion diversity, which measures whether the model generated summary can cover a diverse set of opinions. In addition, we examine opinion similarity, a measure of how closely related two opinions are in terms of their stance on a given topic, and its relationship with opinion diversity. Through the lens of stances towards a topic, we examine opinion diversity and similarity using three debatable topics under COVID-19. Experimental results on these topics revealed that a higher degree of similarity of opinions did not indicate good diversity or fairly cover the various opinions originally presented in the source documents. We found that BART and ChatGPT can better capture diverse opinions presented in the source documents.
In traditional models of opinion dynamics, each agent in a network has an opinion and changes in opinions arise from pairwise (i.e., dyadic) interactions between agents. However, in many situations, groups of individuals possess a collective opinion that can differ from the opinions of its constituent individuals. In this paper, we study the effects of group opinions on opinion dynamics. We formulate a hypergraph model in which both individual agents and groups of 3 agents have opinions, and we examine how opinions evolve through both dyadic interactions and group memberships. In some parameter regimes, we find that the presence of group opinions can lead to oscillatory and excitable opinion dynamics. In the oscillatory regime, the mean opinion of the agents in a network has self-sustained oscillations. In the excitable regime, finite-size effects create large but short-lived opinion swings (as in social fads). We develop a mean-field approximation of our model and obtain good agreement with direct numerical simulations. We also show -- both numerically and via our mean-field description -- that oscillatory dynamics occur only when the number of dyadic and polyadic interactions per
Opinion Dynamics (OD) models are a particular case of Agent-Based Models in which the evolution of opinions within a population is studied. In most OD models, opinions evolve as a consequence of interactions between agents, and the opinion fusion rule defines how those opinions are updated. In consequence, despite being simplistic, OD models provide an explainable and interpretable mechanism for understanding the underlying dynamics of opinion evolution. Unfortunately, existing OD models mainly focus on explaining the evolution of (usually synthetic) opinions towards consensus, fragmentation, or polarization, but they usually fail to analyze scenarios of (real-world) highly oscillating opinions. This work overcomes this limitation by studying the ability of several OD models to reproduce highly oscillating dynamics. To this end, we formulate an optimization problem which is further solved using Evolutionary Algorithms, providing both quantitative results on the performance of the optimization and qualitative interpretations on the obtained results. Our experiments on a real-world opinion dataset about immigration from the monthly barometer of the Spanish Sociological Research Cente
In this paper we propose and investigate a multi-dimensional opinion dynamics model where people are characterised by both opinions and importance weights across these opinions. Opinion changes occur through binary interactions, with a novel coupling mechanism: the change in one topic depends on the weighted similarity across the full opinion vector. We state the kinetic equation for this process and derive its mean-field partial differential equation to describe the overall dynamics. Analytical computations and numerical simulations confirm that this model generates complex stationary states, and we demonstrate that the final opinion structures are critically determined by the peoples' opinion weights.
According to mass media theory, the dissemination of messages and the evolution of opinions in social networks follow a two-step process. First, opinion leaders receive the message from the message sources, and then they transmit their opinions to normal agents. However, most opinion models only consider the evolution of opinions within a single network, which fails to capture the two-step process accurately. To address this limitation, we propose a unified framework called the Two-Step Model, which analyzes the communication process among message sources, opinion leaders, and normal agents. In this study, we examine the steady-state opinions and stability of the Two-Step Model. Our findings reveal that several factors, such as message distribution, initial opinion, level of stubbornness, and preference coefficient, influence the sample mean and variance of steady-state opinions. Notably, normal agents' opinions tend to be influenced by opinion leaders in the two-step process. We also conduct numerical and social experiments to validate the accuracy of the Two-Step Model, which outperforms other models on average. Our results provide valuable insights into the factors that shape so
This study considers a variant of the bounded confidence opinion formation model wherein the probability of opinion assimilation is dependent on the relative similarity of opinions. Agents are located on a social network and decide whether or not they adopt the opinion of one of the neighbors (called a role agent). Opinion assimilation is more (less) likely to occur when the distance from the opinion of the role agent is smaller (larger) than the average opinion distance from other neighbors. Thus, assimilation probability is reliant not only on opinion proximity with the role agent considered in conventional models but also on relative similarity that considers other neighbors. The simulation results demonstrate that large weights on relative similarity in determining assimilation probability increase the size of the largest opinion cluster. The size of the threshold parameter of the bounded confidence model displays inverse-U relationships with the largest cluster size. The findings imply that consideration of relative opinion similarity, as observed in recent empirical studies, prevents polarization into small opinion clusters.
Opinion dynamics is of paramount importance as it provides insights into the complex dynamics of opinion propagation and social relationship adjustment. It is assumed in most of the previous works that social relationships evolve much faster than opinions. This is not always true in reality. We propose an analytical approximation to study this issue for arbitrary time scales between opinion adjustment and network evolution. To this end, the coefficient of determination in statistics is introduced and a one-dimensional stable manifold is analytically found, i.e., the most likely trajectory. With the aid of the stable manifold, we further obtain the fate of opinions and the consensus time, i.e., fixation probability and fixation time. We find that for in-group bias, the more likely individuals are to adopt the popular opinion, the less likely the majority opinion takes over the population, i.e., conformity inhibits the domination of popular opinions. This counter-intuitive result can be interpreted from a game perspective, in which in-group bias refers to a coordination game and rewiring probability refers to a rescaling of the selection intensity. Our work proposes an efficient appr
This review outlines the major approaches to modelling opinion formation and manipulation in mathematics and computer science. Key tools such as ordinary and partial differential equations, stochastic models, control theory, and interaction protocols are introduced and compared as methods for describing manipulation. The review is separated into those models using a continuous opinion space and those using discrete or binary opinions, with the advantages and disadvantages of each discussed. Finally, the authors provide an interdisciplinary perspective on the field of opinion dynamics and its social significance.
Opinions are central to almost all human activities and are key influencers of our behaviors. In current times due to growth of social networking website and increase in number of e-commerce site huge amount of opinions are now available on web. Given a set of evaluative statements that contain opinions (or sentiments) about an Entity, opinion mining aims to extract attributes and components of the object that have been commented on in each statement and to determine whether the comments are positive, negative or neutral. While lot of research recently has been done in field of opinion mining and some of it dealing with ranking of entities based on review or opinion set, classifying opinions into finer granularity level and then ranking entities has never been done before. In this paper method for opinion mining from statements at a deeper level of granularity is proposed. This is done by using fuzzy logic reasoning, after which entities are ranked as per this information.
Deterministic dynamics is a mathematical model used to describe the temporal evolution of a system, generally expressed as dx/dt = F(x), where x represents the system's state, and F(x) determines its dynamics. It is employed to understand long-term system behavior, including opinion formation and polarization in online communities. Opinion dynamics models, like the Katz model and the logistic map, help analyze how individual opinions are influenced within social networks and exhibit chaotic behavior. These models are crucial for studying opinion formation and collective behavior on social media, especially in conjunction with branching theory. For instance, Galam's Ising model applies principles from physics to social sciences, representing individual opinions as "spins" and illustrating how local interactions influence consensus formation. The Bounding Confidence model considers opinions within a confidence interval, showing how opinions converge or polarize. These models effectively analyze opinion dynamics in online communities, aiding in understanding trends and viral phenomena on social media. This research aims to analyze discourse flow and opinion evolution, predicting futur
An important question when eliciting opinions from experts is how to aggregate the reported opinions. In this paper, we propose a pooling method to aggregate expert opinions. Intuitively, it works as if the experts were continuously updating their opinions in order to accommodate the expertise of others. Each updated opinion takes the form of a linear opinion pool, where the weight that an expert assigns to a peer's opinion is inversely related to the distance between their opinions. In other words, experts are assumed to prefer opinions that are close to their own opinions. We prove that such an updating process leads to consensus, \textit{i.e.}, the experts all converge towards the same opinion. Further, we show that if rational experts are rewarded using the quadratic scoring rule, then the assumption that they prefer opinions that are close to their own opinions follows naturally. We empirically demonstrate the efficacy of the proposed method using real-world data.
The proliferation of public networks has enabled instantaneous and interactive communication that transcends temporal and spatial constraints. The vast amount of textual data on the Web has facilitated the study of quantitative analysis of public opinion, which could not be visualized before. In this paper, we propose a new theory of opinion dynamics. This theory is designed to explain consensus building and opinion splitting in opinion exchanges on social media such as Twitter. With the spread of public networks, immediate and interactive communication that transcends temporal and spatial constraints has become possible, and research is underway to quantitatively analyze the distribution of public opinion, which has not been visualized until now, using vast amounts of text data. In this paper, we propose a model based on the Like Bounded Confidence Model, which represents opinions as continuous quantities. However, the Bounded Confidence mModel assumes that people with different opinions move without regard to their opinions, rather than ignoring them. Furthermore, our theory modeled the phenomenon in such a way that it can incorporate and represent the effects of external externa
Reputation is generally defined as the opinion of a group on an aspect of a thing. This paper presents a reputation model that follows a probabilistic modelling of opinions based on three main concepts: (1) the value of an opinion decays with time, (2) the reputation of the opinion source impacts the reliability of the opinion, and (3) the certainty of the opinion impacts its weight with respect to other opinions. Furthermore, the model is flexible with its opinion sources: it may use explicit opinions or implicit opinions that can be extracted from agent behavior in domains where explicit opinions are sparse. We illustrate the latter with an approach to extract opinions from behavioral information in the sports domain, focusing on football in particular. One of the uses of a reputation model is predicting behavior. We take up the challenge of predicting the behavior of football teams in football matches, which we argue is a very interesting yet difficult approach for evaluating the model.
Recent research has developed the Ising model from physics, especially statistical mechanics, and it plays an important role in quantum computing, especially quantum annealing and quantum Monte Carlo methods. The model has also been used in opinion dynamics as a powerful tool for simulating social interactions and opinion formation processes. Individual opinions and preferences correspond to spin states, and social pressure and communication dynamics are modeled through interactions between spins. Quantum computing makes it possible to efficiently simulate these interactions and analyze more complex social networks.Recent research has incorporated concepts from quantum information theory such as Graph State, Stabilizer State, and Surface Code (or Toric Code) into models of opinion dynamics. The incorporation of these concepts allows for a more detailed analysis of the process of opinion formation and the dynamics of social networks. The concepts lie at the intersection of graph theory and quantum theory, and the use of Graph State in opinion dynamics can represent the interdependence of opinions and networks of influence among individuals. It helps to represent the local stability
The field of opinion dynamics has evolved steadily since the earliest studies applying magnetic physics methods to better understand social opinion formation. However, in the real world, complete agreement of opinions is rare, and biaxial consensus, especially on social issues, is rare. To address this challenge, Ishii and Kawabata (2018) proposed an extended version of the Bounded Confidence Model that introduces new parameters indicating dissent and distrust, as well as the influence of mass media. Their model aimed to capture more realistic social opinion dynamics by introducing coefficients representing the degree of trust and distrust, rather than assuming convergence of opinions. In this paper, we propose a new approach to opinion dynamics based on this Trust-Distrust Model (TDM), applying the dimer allocation and Ising model. Our goal is to explore how the interaction between trust and distrust affects social opinion formation. In particular, we analyze through mathematical models how various external stimuli, such as mass media, third-party opinions, and economic and political factors, affect people's opinions. Our approach is to mathematically represent the dynamics of tru
The field of opinion dynamics has its roots in early research that applied methods from magnetic physics to gain insights into the formation of social opinions. A central challenge in this field lies in modeling how diverse opinions coexist and exert influence on each other. In the realm of social issues, it's In this study, we leverage the dimer construct and the dimer model to establish a theoretical framework. Through numerical simulations, we demonstrate how this proposed model can be applied to real-world scenarios of social opinion formation. The model involves the computation of the Castellain matrix (K), the distribution function (Z), and the probability of dimer configuration (P(D)) for convex regions with varying positions and distances. It explores how alterations in convex regions impact the probability of dimer configuration. Furthermore, our model takes into account two critical factors: "dependence" and "forgetting" in the process of opinion formation. It also delves into the concepts of "distance" and "location" of opinions. The results of numerical simulations shed light on how our model effectively captures the processes involved in real-world social opinion forma
This study introduces a new numerical model to simulate how information is comprehended and processed on social networks, using continuous "Phase Field Modeling" variables (phiA, phiB, phiC) to represent individual users' opinions. It captures the immediate and two-way nature of social media interactions, reproducing the spread and feedback of information. The model incorporates psychological and social factors like confirmation bias and opinion rigidity to analyze information processing and opinion development among users. It also explores the dynamics of opinion segregation and interaction in and out of filter bubbles, offering a quantitative view of opinion dynamics on platforms like social networking services (SNS). This approach combines theoretical models with real-world social network data to study the effects of information concentration on opinion formation and the phenome Phase Field Modeling of opinion polarization and echo chamber effects on SNS. This paper is partially an attempt to utilize "Generative AI" and was written with educational intent. There are currently no plans for it to become a peer-reviewed paper.
We consider the problem of optimizing the placement of stubborn agents in a social network in order to maximally influence the population. We assume the network contains stubborn users whose opinions do not change, and non-stubborn users who can be persuaded. We further assume the opinions in the network are in an equilibrium that is common to many opinion dynamics models, including the well-known DeGroot model. We develop a discrete optimization formulation for the problem of maximally shifting the equilibrium opinions in a network by targeting users with stubborn agents. The opinion objective functions we consider are the opinion mean, the opinion variance, and the number of individuals whose opinion exceeds a fixed threshold. We show that the mean opinion is a monotone submodular function, allowing us to find a good solution using a greedy algorithm. We find that on real social networks in Twitter consisting of tens of thousands of individuals, a small number of stubborn agents can non-trivially influence the equilibrium opinions. Furthermore, we show that our greedy algorithm outperforms several common benchmarks. We then propose an opinion dynamics model where users communicat
In a recent work [Shao $et$ $al$ 2009 Phys. Rev. Lett. \textbf{108} 018701], a nonconsensus opinion (NCO) model was proposed, where two opinions can stably coexist by forming clusters of agents holding the same opinion. The NCO model on lattices and several complex networks displays a phase transition behavior, which is characterized by a large spanning cluster of nodes holding the same opinion appears when the initial fraction of nodes holding this opinion is above a certain critical value. In the NCO model, each agent will convert to its opposite opinion if there are more than half of agents holding the opposite opinion in its neighborhood. In this paper, we generalize the NCO model by assuming that each agent will change its opinion if the fraction of agents holding the opposite opinion in its neighborhood exceeds a threshold $T$ ($T\geq 0.5$). We call this generalized model as the NCOT model. We apply the NCOT model on different network structures and study the formation of opinion clusters. We find that the NCOT model on lattices displays a continuous phase transition. For random graphs and scale-free networks, the NCOT model shows a discontinuous phase transition when the thr