搜索结果：interventional

Standard diffusion models are flexible estimators of complex distributions, but they do not encode causal structures and therefore do not by themselves support causal analysis. We propose a causality-encoded diffusion framework that incorporates a known directed acyclic graph by training conditional diffusion models consistent with the graph factorisation. The resulting sampler approximately recovers the observational distribution and enables interventional sampling by fixing intervened variables while propagating effects through the graph during reverse diffusion. Building on this interventional simulator, we develop a resampling-based test for directed edges that generates null replicates under a candidate graph. We establish convergence guarantees for observational and interventional distribution estimation, with rates governed by the maximum local dimension rather than the ambient dimension, and prove asymptotic control of type I error for the edge test. Simulations show improved interventional distribution recovery relative to baselines, with near-nominal size and favourable power in inference. An application to flow cytometry data demonstrates practical utility of the propose

We study the problem of learning robust discriminative representations of causally related latent variables given the underlying causal graph and a training set comprising passively collected observational data and interventional data obtained through targeted interventions on some of these latent variables. We desire to learn representations that are robust against the resulting interventional distribution shifts. Existing approaches treat observational and interventional data alike, ignoring the independence relations arising from these interventions, even with known underlying causal models. As a result, their representations lead to large predictive performance disparities between observational and interventional data. This performance disparity worsens when interventional training data is scarce. In this paper, (1) we first identify a strong correlation between this performance disparity and the representations' violation of statistical independence induced during interventions. (2) For linear models, we derive sufficient conditions on the proportion of interventional training data, for which enforcing statistical independence between representations of the intervened node and

Incorporating causal knowledge and mechanisms is essential for refining causal models and improving downstream tasks such as designing new treatments. In this paper, we introduce a novel concept in causal discovery, termed interventional constraints, which differs fundamentally from interventional data. While interventional data require direct perturbations of variables, interventional constraints encode high-level causal knowledge in the form of inequality constraints on causal effects. For instance, in the Sachs dataset (Sachs et al.\ 2005), Akt has been shown to be activated by PIP3, meaning PIP3 exerts a positive causal effect on Akt. Existing causal discovery methods allow enforcing structural constraints (for example, requiring a causal path from PIP3 to Akt), but they may still produce incorrect causal conclusions such as learning that "PIP3 inhibits Akt". Interventional constraints bridge this gap by explicitly constraining the total causal effect between variable pairs, ensuring learned models respect known causal influences. To formalize interventional constraints, we propose a metric to quantify total causal effects for linear causal models and formulate the problem as a

Prior-data fitted networks (PFNs) have emerged as powerful foundation models for tabular causal inference, yet their extension to time series remains limited by the absence of synthetic data generators that provide interventional targets. Existing time series benchmarks generate observational data with ground-truth causal graphs but lack the interventional data required for training causal foundation models. To address this, we propose \textbf{CausalTimePrior}, a principled framework for generating synthetic temporal structural causal models (TSCMs) with paired observational and interventional time series. Our prior supports configurable causal graph structures, nonlinear autoregressive mechanisms, regime-switching dynamics, and multiple intervention types (hard, soft, time-varying). We demonstrate that PFNs trained on CausalTimePrior can perform in-context causal effect estimation on held-out TSCMs, establishing a pathway toward foundation models for time series causal inference.

In response to the increasing demand for cardiocerebrovascular interventional surgeries, precise control of interventional robots has become increasingly important. Within these complex vascular scenarios, the accurate and reliable perception of the pose state for interventional robots is particularly crucial. This paper presents a novel vision-based approach without the need of additional sensors or markers. The core of this paper's method consists of a three-part framework: firstly, a dual-head multitask U-Net model for simultaneous vessel segment and interventional robot detection; secondly, an advanced algorithm for skeleton extraction and optimization; and finally, a comprehensive pose state perception system based on geometric features is implemented to accurately identify the robot's pose state and provide strategies for subsequent control. The experimental results demonstrate the proposed method's high reliability and accuracy in trajectory tracking and pose state perception.

In this paper we show how to exploit interventional data to acquire the joint conditional distribution of all the variables using the Maximum Entropy principle. To this end, we extend the Causal Maximum Entropy method to make use of interventional data in addition to observational data. Using Lagrange duality, we prove that the solution to the Causal Maximum Entropy problem with interventional constraints lies in the exponential family, as in the Maximum Entropy solution. Our method allows us to perform two tasks of interest when marginal interventional distributions are provided for any subset of the variables. First, we show how to perform causal feature selection from a mixture of observational and single-variable interventional data, and, second, how to infer joint interventional distributions. For the former task, we show on synthetically generated data, that our proposed method outperforms the state-of-the-art method on merging datasets, and yields comparable results to the KCI-test which requires access to joint observations of all variables.

Estimating causal effects of joint interventions on multiple variables is crucial in many domains, but obtaining data from such simultaneous interventions can be challenging. Our study explores how to learn joint interventional effects using only observational data and single-variable interventions. We present an identifiability result for this problem, showing that for a class of nonlinear additive outcome mechanisms, joint effects can be inferred without access to joint interventional data. We propose a practical estimator that decomposes the causal effect into confounded and unconfounded contributions for each intervention variable. Experiments on synthetic data demonstrate that our method achieves performance comparable to models trained directly on joint interventional data, outperforming a purely observational estimator.

Detecting and quantifying causality is a focal topic in the fields of science, engineering, and interdisciplinary studies. However, causal studies on non-intervention systems attract much attention but remain extremely challenging. Delay-embedding technique provides a promising approach. In this study, we propose a framework named Interventional Dynamical Causality (IntDC) in contrast to the traditional Constructive Dynamical Causality (ConDC). ConDC, including Granger causality, transfer entropy and convergence of cross-mapping, measures the causality by constructing a dynamical model without considering interventions. A computational criterion, Interventional Embedding Entropy (IEE), is proposed to measure causal strengths in an interventional manner. IEE is an intervened causal information flow but in the delay-embedding space. Further, the IEE theoretically and numerically enables the deciphering of IntDC solely from observational (non-interventional) time-series data, without requiring any knowledge of dynamical models or real interventions in the considered system. In particular, IEE can be applied to rank causal effects according to their importance and construct causal netw

Causal inference in hybrid domains, characterized by a mixture of discrete and continuous variables, presents a formidable challenge. We take a step towards this direction and propose Characteristic Interventional Sum-Product Network ($χ$SPN) that is capable of estimating interventional distributions in presence of random variables drawn from mixed distributions. $χ$SPN uses characteristic functions in the leaves of an interventional SPN (iSPN) thereby providing a unified view for discrete and continuous random variables through the Fourier-Stieltjes transform of the probability measures. A neural network is used to estimate the parameters of the learned iSPN using the intervened data. Our experiments on 3 synthetic heterogeneous datasets suggest that $χ$SPN can effectively capture the interventional distributions for both discrete and continuous variables while being expressive and causally adequate. We also show that $χ$SPN generalize to multiple interventions while being trained only on a single intervention data.

Granger causality, commonly used for inferring causal structures from time series data, has been adopted in widespread applications across various fields due to its intuitive explainability and high compatibility with emerging deep neural network prediction models. To alleviate challenges in better deciphering causal structures unambiguously from time series, the use of interventional data has become a practical approach. However, existing methods have yet to be explored in the context of imperfect interventions with unknown targets, which are more common and often more beneficial in a wide range of real-world applications. Additionally, the identifiability issues of Granger causality with unknown interventional targets in complex network models remain unsolved. Our work presents a theoretically-grounded method that infers Granger causal structure and identifies unknown targets by leveraging heterogeneous interventional time series data. We further illustrate that learning Granger causal structure and recovering interventional targets can mutually promote each other. Comparative experiments demonstrate that our method outperforms several robust baseline methods in learning Granger

Characteristic imsets are 0/1-vectors representing directed acyclic graphs whose edges represent direct cause-effect relations between jointly distributed random variables. A characteristic imset (CIM) polytope is the convex hull of a collection of characteristic imsets. CIM polytopes arise as feasible regions of a linear programming approach to the problem of causal disovery, which aims to infer a cause-effect structure from data. Linear optimization methods typically require a hyperplane representation of the feasible region, which has proven difficult to compute for CIM polytopes despite continued efforts. We solve this problem for CIM polytopes that are the convex hull of imsets associated to DAGs whose underlying graph of adjacencies is a tree. Our methods use the theory of toric fiber products as well as the novel notion of interventional CIM polytopes. Our solution is obtained as a corollary of a more general result for interventional CIM polytopes. The identified hyperplanes are applied to yield a linear optimization-based causal discovery algorithm for learning polytree causal networks from a combination of observational and interventional data.

The invariance properties of interventional distributions relative to the observational distribution, and how these properties allow us to refine Markov equivalence classes (MECs) of DAGs, is central to causal DAG discovery algorithms that use both interventional and observational data. Here, we show how the invariance properties of interventional DAG models, and the corresponding refinement of MECs into interventional MECs, can be generalized to mixed graphical models that allow for latent cofounders and selection variables. We first generalize interventional Markov equivalence to all formal independence models associated to loopless mixed graphs. For ancestral graphs, we prove the resulting interventional MECs admit a graphical characterization generalizing that of DAGs. We then define interventional distributions for acyclic directed mixed graph models, and prove that this generalization aligns with the graphical generalization of interventional Markov equivalence given for the formal independence models. This provides a framework for causal model discovery via observational and interventional data in the presence of latent confounders that applies even when the interventions ar

Inferring the causal relationships among a set of variables in the form of a directed acyclic graph (DAG) is an important but notoriously challenging problem. Recently, advancements in high-throughput genomic perturbation screens have inspired development of methods that leverage interventional data to improve model identification. However, existing methods still suffer poor performance on large-scale tasks and fail to quantify uncertainty. Here, we propose Interventional Bayesian Causal Discovery (IBCD), an empirical Bayesian framework for causal discovery with interventional data. Our approach models the likelihood of the matrix of total causal effects, which can be approximated by a matrix normal distribution, rather than the full data matrix. We place a spike-and-slab horseshoe prior on the edges and separately learn data-driven weights for scale-free and Erdős-Rényi structures from observational data, treating each edge as a latent variable to enable uncertainty-aware inference. Through extensive simulation, we show that IBCD achieves superior structure recovery compared to existing baselines. We apply IBCD to CRISPR perturbation (Perturb-seq) data on 521 genes, demonstrating

Modern machine learning approaches excel in static settings where a large amount of i.i.d. training data are available for a given task. In a dynamic environment, though, an intelligent agent needs to be able to transfer knowledge and re-use learned components across domains. It has been argued that this may be possible through causal models, aiming to mirror the modularity of the real world in terms of independent causal mechanisms. However, the true causal structure underlying a given set of data is generally not identifiable, so it is desirable to have means to quantify differences between models (e.g., between the ground truth and an estimate), on both the observational and interventional level. In the present work, we introduce the Interventional Kullback-Leibler (IKL) divergence to quantify both structural and distributional differences between models based on a finite set of multi-environment distributions generated by interventions from the ground truth. Since we generally cannot quantify all differences between causal models for every finite set of interventional distributions, we propose a sufficient condition on the intervention targets to identify subsets of observed va

Image guidance for minimally invasive interventions is usually performed by acquiring fluoroscopic images using a C-arm system. However, the projective data provide only limited information about the spatial structure and position of interventional tools such as stents, guide wires or coils. In this work we propose a deep learning-based pipeline for real-time tomographic (four-dimensional) interventional guidance at acceptable dose levels. In the first step, interventional tools are extracted from four cone-beam CT projections using a deep convolutional neural network (CNN). These projections are then reconstructed and fed into a second CNN, which maps this highly undersampled reconstruction to a segmentation of the interventional tools. Our pipeline is capable of reconstructing interventional tools from only four x-ray projections without the need for a patient prior with very high accuracy. Therefore, the proposed approach is capable of overcoming the drawbacks of today's interventional guidance and could enable the development of new minimally invasive radiological interventions by providing full spatiotemporal information about the interventional tools.

Decomposing an exposure effect on an outcome into separate natural indirect effects through multiple mediators requires strict assumptions, such as correctly postulating the causal structure of the mediators, and no unmeasured confounding among the mediators. In contrast, interventional indirect effects for multiple mediators can be identified even when - as often - the mediators either have an unknown causal structure, or share unmeasured common causes, or both. Existing estimation methods for interventional indirect effects require calculating each distinct indirect effect in turn. This can quickly become unwieldy or unfeasible, especially when investigating indirect effect measures that may be modified by observed baseline characteristics. In this article, we introduce simplified estimation procedures for such heterogeneous interventional indirect effects using interventional effect models. Interventional effect models are a class of marginal structural models that encode the interventional indirect effects as causal model parameters, thus readily permitting effect modification by baseline covariates using (statistical) interaction terms. The mediators and outcome can be continu