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Recent advances in large language models (LLMs) have sparked growing interest in integrating language-driven techniques into trajectory prediction. By leveraging their semantic and reasoning capabilities, LLMs are reshaping how autonomous systems perceive, model, and predict trajectories. This survey provides a comprehensive overview of this emerging field, categorizing recent work into five directions: (1) Trajectory prediction via language modeling paradigms, (2) Direct trajectory prediction with pretrained language models, (3) Language-guided scene understanding for trajectory prediction, (4) Language-driven data generation for trajectory prediction, (5) Language-based reasoning and interpretability for trajectory prediction. For each, we analyze representative methods, highlight core design choices, and identify open challenges. This survey bridges natural language processing and trajectory prediction, offering a unified perspective on how language can enrich trajectory prediction.
In response to everyday queries, humans explicitly signal uncertainty and offer alternative answers when they are unsure. Machine learning models that output calibrated prediction sets through conformal prediction mimic this human behaviour; larger sets signal greater uncertainty while providing alternatives. In this work, we study the usefulness of conformal prediction sets as an aid for human decision making by conducting a pre-registered randomized controlled trial with conformal prediction sets provided to human subjects. With statistical significance, we find that when humans are given conformal prediction sets their accuracy on tasks improves compared to fixed-size prediction sets with the same coverage guarantee. The results show that quantifying model uncertainty with conformal prediction is helpful for human-in-the-loop decision making and human-AI teams.
Conformal prediction provides machine learning models with prediction sets that offer theoretical guarantees, but the underlying assumption of exchangeability limits its applicability to time series data. Furthermore, existing approaches struggle to handle multi-step ahead prediction tasks, where uncertainty estimates across multiple future time points are crucial. We propose JANET (Joint Adaptive predictioN-region Estimation for Time-series), a novel framework for constructing conformal prediction regions that are valid for both univariate and multivariate time series. JANET generalises the inductive conformal framework and efficiently produces joint prediction regions with controlled K-familywise error rates, enabling flexible adaptation to specific application needs. Our empirical evaluation demonstrates JANET's superior performance in multi-step prediction tasks across diverse time series datasets, highlighting its potential for reliable and interpretable uncertainty quantification in sequential data.
Conformal Prediction (CP) controls the prediction uncertainty of classification systems by producing a small prediction set, ensuring a predetermined probability that the true class lies within this set. This is commonly done by defining a score, based on the model predictions, and setting a threshold on this score using a validation set. In this study, we address the problem of CP calibration when we only have access to a calibration set with noisy labels. We show how we can estimate the noise-free conformal threshold based on the noisy labeled data. We derive a finite sample coverage guarantee for uniform noise that remains effective even in tasks with a large number of classes. We dub our approach Noise-Aware Conformal Prediction (NACP). We illustrate the performance of the proposed results on several standard image classification datasets with a large number of classes.
AI-assisted molecular property prediction has become a promising technique in early-stage drug discovery and materials design in recent years. However, due to high-cost and complex wet-lab experiments, real-world molecules usually experience the issue of scarce annotations, leading to limited labeled data for effective supervised AI model learning. In light of this, few-shot molecular property prediction (FSMPP) has emerged as an expressive paradigm that enables learning from only a few labeled examples. Despite rapidly growing attention, existing FSMPP studies remain fragmented, without a coherent framework to capture methodological advances and domain-specific challenges. In this work, we present the first comprehensive and systematic survey of few-shot molecular property prediction. We begin by analyzing the few-shot phenomenon in molecular datasets and highlighting two core challenges: (1) cross-property generalization under distribution shifts, where each task corresponding to each property, may follow a different data distribution or even be inherently weakly related to others from a biochemical perspective, requiring the model to transfer knowledge across heterogeneous predi
Accurate prediction of food delivery times significantly impacts customer satisfaction, operational efficiency, and profitability in food delivery services. However, existing studies primarily utilize static historical data and often overlook dynamic, real-time contextual factors crucial for precise prediction, particularly in densely populated Indian cities. This research addresses these gaps by integrating real-time contextual variables such as traffic density, weather conditions, local events, and geospatial data (restaurant and delivery location coordinates) into predictive models. We systematically compare various machine learning algorithms, including Linear Regression, Decision Trees, Bagging, Random Forest, XGBoost, and LightGBM, on a comprehensive food delivery dataset specific to Indian urban contexts. Rigorous data preprocessing and feature selection significantly enhanced model performance. Experimental results demonstrate that the LightGBM model achieves superior predictive accuracy, with an R2 score of 0.76 and Mean Squared Error (MSE) of 20.59, outperforming traditional baseline approaches. Our study thus provides actionable insights for improving logistics strategie
Forecasting future scenarios in dynamic environments is essential for intelligent decision-making and navigation, a challenge yet to be fully realized in computer vision and robotics. Traditional approaches like video prediction and novel-view synthesis either lack the ability to forecast from arbitrary viewpoints or to predict temporal dynamics. In this paper, we introduce GaussianPrediction, a novel framework that empowers 3D Gaussian representations with dynamic scene modeling and future scenario synthesis in dynamic environments. GaussianPrediction can forecast future states from any viewpoint, using video observations of dynamic scenes. To this end, we first propose a 3D Gaussian canonical space with deformation modeling to capture the appearance and geometry of dynamic scenes, and integrate the lifecycle property into Gaussians for irreversible deformations. To make the prediction feasible and efficient, a concentric motion distillation approach is developed by distilling the scene motion with key points. Finally, a Graph Convolutional Network is employed to predict the motions of key points, enabling the rendering of photorealistic images of future scenarios. Our framework s
Predicting human mobility across multiple cities presents significant challenges due to the complex and diverse spatial-temporal dynamics inherent in different urban environments. In this study, we propose a robust approach to predict human mobility patterns called ST-MoE-BERT. Compared to existing methods, our approach frames the prediction task as a spatial-temporal classification problem. Our methodology integrates the Mixture-of-Experts architecture with BERT model to capture complex mobility dynamics and perform the downstream human mobility prediction task. Additionally, transfer learning is integrated to solve the challenge of data scarcity in cross-city prediction. We demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed model on GEO-BLEU and DTW, comparing it to several state-of-the-art methods. Notably, ST-MoE-BERT achieves an average improvement of 8.29%.
In this technical report, we present our solution for the Vision-Centric 3D Occupancy and Flow Prediction track in the nuScenes Open-Occ Dataset Challenge at CVPR 2024. Our innovative approach involves a dual-stage framework that enhances 3D occupancy and flow predictions by incorporating adaptive forward view transformation and flow modeling. Initially, we independently train the occupancy model, followed by flow prediction using sequential frame integration. Our method combines regression with classification to address scale variations in different scenes, and leverages predicted flow to warp current voxel features to future frames, guided by future frame ground truth. Experimental results on the nuScenes dataset demonstrate significant improvements in accuracy and robustness, showcasing the effectiveness of our approach in real-world scenarios. Our single model based on Swin-Base ranks second on the public leaderboard, validating the potential of our method in advancing autonomous car perception systems.
Social media popularity (SMP) prediction is a complex task involving multi-modal data integration. While pre-trained vision-language models (VLMs) like CLIP have been widely adopted for this task, their effectiveness in capturing the unique characteristics of social media content remains unexplored. This paper critically examines the applicability of CLIP-based features in SMP prediction, focusing on the overlooked phenomenon of semantic inconsistency between images and text in social media posts. Through extensive analysis, we demonstrate that this inconsistency increases with post popularity, challenging the conventional use of VLM features. We provide a comprehensive investigation of semantic inconsistency across different popularity intervals and analyze the impact of VLM feature adaptation on SMP tasks. Our experiments reveal that incorporating inconsistency measures and adapted text features significantly improves model performance, achieving an SRC of 0.729 and an MAE of 1.227. These findings not only enhance SMP prediction accuracy but also provide crucial insights for developing more targeted approaches in social media analysis.
Recently significant progress has been made in human action recognition and behavior prediction using deep learning techniques, leading to improved vision-based semantic understanding. However, there is still a lack of high-quality motion datasets for small bio-robotics, which presents more challenging scenarios for long-term movement prediction and behavior control based on third-person observation. In this study, we introduce RatPose, a bio-robot motion prediction dataset constructed by considering the influence factors of individuals and environments based on predefined annotation rules. To enhance the robustness of motion prediction against these factors, we propose a Dual-stream Motion-Scenario Decoupling (\textit{DMSD}) framework that effectively separates scenario-oriented and motion-oriented features and designs a scenario contrast loss and motion clustering loss for overall training. With such distinctive architecture, the dual-branch feature flow information is interacted and compensated in a decomposition-then-fusion manner. Moreover, we demonstrate significant performance improvements of the proposed \textit{DMSD} framework on different difficulty-level tasks. We also i
This technical report presents our solution, "occTransformer" for the 3D occupancy prediction track in the autonomous driving challenge at CVPR 2023. Our method builds upon the strong baseline BEVFormer and improves its performance through several simple yet effective techniques. Firstly, we employed data augmentation to increase the diversity of the training data and improve the model's generalization ability. Secondly, we used a strong image backbone to extract more informative features from the input data. Thirdly, we incorporated a 3D unet head to better capture the spatial information of the scene. Fourthly, we added more loss functions to better optimize the model. Additionally, we used an ensemble approach with the occ model BevDet and SurroundOcc to further improve the performance. Most importantly, we integrated 3D detection model StreamPETR to enhance the model's ability to detect objects in the scene. Using these methods, our solution achieved 49.23 miou on the 3D occupancy prediction track in the autonomous driving challenge.
Current virtual reality (VR) headsets encounter a trade-off between high processing power and affordability. Consequently, offloading 3D rendering to remote servers helps reduce costs, battery usage, and headset weight. Maintaining network latency below 20ms is crucial to achieving this goal. Predicting future movement and prerendering are beneficial in meeting this tight latency bound. This paper proposes a method that utilizes the low-latency property of edge servers and the high resources available in cloud servers simultaneously to achieve cost-efficient, high-quality VR. In this method, head movement is predicted on the cloud server, and frames are rendered there and transmitted to the edge server. If the prediction error surpasses a threshold, the frame is re-rendered on the edge server. Results demonstrate that using this method, each edge server can efficiently serve up to 23 users concurrently, compared to a maximum of 5 users when rendering the frame entirely on the edge server. Furthermore, this paper shows that employing the Mean Absolute Error loss function and predicting acceleration rather than velocity significantly enhances prediction accuracy. Additionally, it is
Financial risk prediction plays a crucial role in the financial sector. Machine learning methods have been widely applied for automatically detecting potential risks and thus saving the cost of labor. However, the development in this field is lagging behind in recent years by the following two facts: 1) the algorithms used are somewhat outdated, especially in the context of the fast advance of generative AI and large language models (LLMs); 2) the lack of a unified and open-sourced financial benchmark has impeded the related research for years. To tackle these issues, we propose FinPT and FinBench: the former is a novel approach for financial risk prediction that conduct Profile Tuning on large pretrained foundation models, and the latter is a set of high-quality datasets on financial risks such as default, fraud, and churn. In FinPT, we fill the financial tabular data into the pre-defined instruction template, obtain natural-language customer profiles by prompting LLMs, and fine-tune large foundation models with the profile text to make predictions. We demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed FinPT by experimenting with a range of representative strong baselines on FinBench.
In this report, we present the 4th place solution for CVPR 2023 3D occupancy prediction challenge. We propose a simple method called Multi-Scale Occ for occupancy prediction based on lift-splat-shoot framework, which introduces multi-scale image features for generating better multi-scale 3D voxel features with temporal fusion of multiple past frames. Post-processing including model ensemble, test-time augmentation, and class-wise thresh are adopted to further boost the final performance. As shown on the leaderboard, our proposed occupancy prediction method ranks the 4th place with 49.36 mIoU.
A well known problem with Earth Orientation Parameters (EOP) prediction is that a prediction strategy proved to be the best for some testing time span and prediction length may not remain the same for other time intervals. In this paper, we consider possible strategies to combine EOP predictions computed using different analysis techniques to obtain a final prediction with the best accuracy corresponding to the smallest prediction error of input predictions. It was found that this approach is most efficient for ultra-short-term EOP forecast.
Outcome prediction is crucial for head and neck cancer patients as it can provide prognostic information for early treatment planning. Radiomics methods have been widely used for outcome prediction from medical images. However, these methods are limited by their reliance on intractable manual segmentation of tumor regions. Recently, deep learning methods have been proposed to perform end-to-end outcome prediction so as to remove the reliance on manual segmentation. Unfortunately, without segmentation masks, these methods will take the whole image as input, such that makes them difficult to focus on tumor regions and potentially unable to fully leverage the prognostic information within the tumor regions. In this study, we propose a radiomics-enhanced deep multi-task framework for outcome prediction from PET/CT images, in the context of HEad and neCK TumOR segmentation and outcome prediction challenge (HECKTOR 2022). In our framework, our novelty is to incorporate radiomics as an enhancement to our recently proposed Deep Multi-task Survival model (DeepMTS). The DeepMTS jointly learns to predict the survival risk scores of patients and the segmentation masks of tumor regions. Radiomi
Link prediction methods use patterns in known network data to infer which connections may be missing. Previous work has shown that continuous-time quantum walks can be used to represent path-based link prediction, which we further study here to develop a more optimized quantum algorithm. Using a sampling framework for link prediction, we analyze the query access to the input network required to produce a certain number of prediction samples. Considering both well-known classical path-based algorithms using powers of the adjacency matrix as well as our proposed quantum algorithm for path-based link prediction, we argue that there is a polynomial quantum advantage on the dependence on $N$, the number of nodes in the network. We further argue that the complexity of our algorithm, although sub-linear in $N$, is limited by the complexity of performing a quantum simulation of the network's adjacency matrix, which may prove to be an important problem in the development of quantum algorithms for network science in general.
This technical report summarizes the winning solution for the 3D Occupancy Prediction Challenge, which is held in conjunction with the CVPR 2023 Workshop on End-to-End Autonomous Driving and CVPR 23 Workshop on Vision-Centric Autonomous Driving Workshop. Our proposed solution FB-OCC builds upon FB-BEV, a cutting-edge camera-based bird's-eye view perception design using forward-backward projection. On top of FB-BEV, we further study novel designs and optimization tailored to the 3D occupancy prediction task, including joint depth-semantic pre-training, joint voxel-BEV representation, model scaling up, and effective post-processing strategies. These designs and optimization result in a state-of-the-art mIoU score of 54.19% on the nuScenes dataset, ranking the 1st place in the challenge track. Code and models will be released at: https://github.com/NVlabs/FB-BEV.
Real-time traffic prediction models play a pivotal role in smart mobility systems and have been widely used in route guidance, emerging mobility services, and advanced traffic management systems. With the availability of massive traffic data, neural network-based deep learning methods, especially the graph convolutional networks (GCN) have demonstrated outstanding performance in mining spatio-temporal information and achieving high prediction accuracy. Recent studies reveal the vulnerability of GCN under adversarial attacks, while there is a lack of studies to understand the vulnerability issues of the GCN-based traffic prediction models. Given this, this paper proposes a new task -- diffusion attack, to study the robustness of GCN-based traffic prediction models. The diffusion attack aims to select and attack a small set of nodes to degrade the performance of the entire prediction model. To conduct the diffusion attack, we propose a novel attack algorithm, which consists of two major components: 1) approximating the gradient of the black-box prediction model with Simultaneous Perturbation Stochastic Approximation (SPSA); 2) adapting the knapsack greedy algorithm to select the atta