Background: Incidence of adverse outcome events rises as patients with advanced illness approach end-of-life. Exposures that tend to occur near end-of-life, e.g., use of wheelchair, oxygen therapy and palliative care, may therefore be found associated with the incidence of the adverse outcomes. We propose a strategy for time-to-event analysis to mitigate the time-varying confounding. Methods: We propose a concept of reverse time-to-death (rTTD) and its use for the time-scale in time-to-event analysis. We used data on community-based palliative care uptake (exposure) and emergency department visits (outcome) among patients with advanced cancer in Singapore to illustrate. We compare the results against that of the common practice of using time-on-study (TOS) as time-scale. Results: Graphical analysis demonstrated that cancer patients receiving palliative care had higher rate of emergency department visits than non-recipients mainly because they were closer to end-of-life, and that rTTD analysis made comparison between patients at the same time-to-death. Analysis of emergency department visits in relation to palliative care using TOS time-scale showed significant increase in hazard ra
What does Artificial Intelligence (AI) have to contribute to health care? And what should we be looking out for if we are worried about its risks? In this paper we offer a survey, and initial evaluation, of hopes and fears about the applications of artificial intelligence in medicine. AI clearly has enormous potential as a research tool, in genomics and public health especially, as well as a diagnostic aid. It's also highly likely to impact on the organisational and business practices of healthcare systems in ways that are perhaps under-appreciated. Enthusiasts for AI have held out the prospect that it will free physicians up to spend more time attending to what really matters to them and their patients. We will argue that this claim depends upon implausible assumptions about the institutional and economic imperatives operating in contemporary healthcare settings. We will also highlight important concerns about privacy, surveillance, and bias in big data, as well as the risks of over trust in machines, the challenges of transparency, the deskilling of healthcare practitioners, the way AI reframes healthcare, and the implications of AI for the distribution of power in healthcare ins
Recent studies indicate that Generative Pre-trained Transformer 4 with Vision (GPT-4V) outperforms human physicians in medical challenge tasks. However, these evaluations primarily focused on the accuracy of multi-choice questions alone. Our study extends the current scope by conducting a comprehensive analysis of GPT-4V's rationales of image comprehension, recall of medical knowledge, and step-by-step multimodal reasoning when solving New England Journal of Medicine (NEJM) Image Challenges - an imaging quiz designed to test the knowledge and diagnostic capabilities of medical professionals. Evaluation results confirmed that GPT-4V performs comparatively to human physicians regarding multi-choice accuracy (81.6% vs. 77.8%). GPT-4V also performs well in cases where physicians incorrectly answer, with over 78% accuracy. However, we discovered that GPT-4V frequently presents flawed rationales in cases where it makes the correct final choices (35.5%), most prominent in image comprehension (27.2%). Regardless of GPT-4V's high accuracy in multi-choice questions, our findings emphasize the necessity for further in-depth evaluations of its rationales before integrating such multimodal AI m
Spousal bereavement severely deteriorates mental health. While palliative care benefits dying patients, its "stress-buffering" effect on survivors' depression remains empirically elusive due to acute small-$N$ constraints in longitudinal dyadic data. This study evaluates the causal impact of palliative care on bereaved spouses while introducing Synthetic Data Generation (SDG) to resolve sample attrition in quasi-experimental designs. Using SHARE panel data, we augment the sparse treated cohort via a Conditional Tabular GAN, anchoring synthetic trajectories to empirical baseline constraints to preserve causal pathways. A Matched Difference-in-Differences estimator applied to the high-fidelity augmented dataset evaluates the treatment effect. Results reveal a non-linear psychological response. Palliative care initially exacerbates acute depressive symptoms at the time of loss ($β_0 = 0.218,\ p < 0.05$), reflecting the intense emotional confrontation of the intervention. However, a sustained stress-buffering effect emerges in subsequent periods ($β_2 = -0.763,\ p < 0.01$), indicating an accelerated long-term recovery compared to standard care. Estimates are highly robust to unob
Bias and inequity in palliative care disproportionately affect marginalised groups. Large language models (LLMs), such as GPT-4o, hold potential to enhance care but risk perpetuating biases present in their training data. This study aimed to systematically evaluate whether GPT-4o propagates biases in palliative care responses using adversarially designed datasets. In July 2024, GPT-4o was probed using the Palliative Care Adversarial Dataset (PCAD), and responses were evaluated by three palliative care experts in Canada and the United Kingdom using validated bias rubrics. The PCAD comprised PCAD-Direct (100 adversarial questions) and PCAD-Counterfactual (84 paired scenarios). These datasets targeted four care dimensions (access to care, pain management, advance care planning, and place of death preferences) and three identity axes (ethnicity, age, and diagnosis). Bias was detected in a substantial proportion of responses. For adversarial questions, the pooled bias rate was 0.33 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.28, 0.38); "allows biased premise" was the most frequently identified source of bias (0.47; 95% CI: 0.39, 0.55), such as failing to challenge stereotypes. For counterfactual s
Palliative medicine is an interdisciplinary specialty focusing on improving quality of life (QOL) for patients with serious illness and their families. Palliative care programs are available or under development at over 80% of large US hospitals (300+ beds). Palliative care clinical trials present unique analytic challenges relative to evaluating the palliative care treatment efficacy which is to improve patients diminishing QOL as disease progresses towards end of life (EOL). A unique feature of palliative care clinical trials is that patients will experience decreasing QOL during the trial despite potentially beneficial treatment. Often longitudinal QOL and survival data are highly correlated which, in the face of censoring, makes it challenging to properly analyze and interpret longitudinal QOL trajectory. To address these issues, we propose a novel semiparametric statistical approach to jointly model longitudinal QOL and survival data. There are two sub-models in our approach: a semiparametric mixed effects model for longitudinal QOL and a Cox model for survival. We use regression splines method to estimate the nonparametric curves and AIC to select knots. We assess the model t
Medicine, including fields in healthcare and life sciences, has seen a flurry of quantum-related activities and experiments in the last few years (although biology and quantum theory have arguably been entangled ever since Schrödinger's cat). The initial focus was on biochemical and computational biology problems; recently, however, clinical and medical quantum solutions have drawn increasing interest. The rapid emergence of quantum computing in health and medicine necessitates a mapping of the landscape. In this review, clinical and medical proof-of-concept quantum computing applications are outlined and put into perspective. These consist of over 40 experimental and theoretical studies. The use case areas span genomics, clinical research and discovery, diagnostics, and treatments and interventions. Quantum machine learning (QML) in particular has rapidly evolved and shown to be competitive with classical benchmarks in recent medical research. Near-term QML algorithms have been trained with diverse clinical and real-world data sets. This includes studies in generating new molecular entities as drug candidates, diagnosing based on medical image classification, predicting patient pe
In this paper we introduce novel Virtual Reality (VR) and Augmented Reality (AR) treatments to improve the psychological well being of patients in palliative care, based on interviews with a clinical psychologist who has successfully implemented VR assisted interventions on palliative care patients in the Hong Kong hospital system. Our VR and AR assisted interventions are adaptations of traditional palliative care therapies which simultaneously facilitate patients communication with family and friends while isolated in hospital due to physical weakness and COVID-19 related restrictions. The first system we propose is a networked, metaverse platform for palliative care patients to create customized virtual environments with therapists, family and friends which function as immersive and collaborative versions of 'life review' and 'reminiscence therapy'. The second proposed system will investigate the use of Mixed Reality telepresence and haptic touch in an AR environment, which will allow palliative care patients to physically feel friends and family in a virtual space, adding to the sense of presence and immersion in that environment.
As digital health solutions continue to reshape healthcare delivery, telehealth software applications have become vital for improving accessibility, continuity of care, and patient outcomes. This paper presents an analysis of designing a software application focused on Enhanced Telehealth Capabilities (ETHC) for palliative care, integrating across three socio-technical dimensions: quality, human values, and real-world. Designing for quality attributes -- such as performance, maintainability, safety, and security -- ensured that the system is technically robust and compliant with clinical standards. Designing for human values -- empathy, inclusivity, accessibility, and transparency -- helped enhance patient experience, trust, and ethical alignment. Designing for real-world -- through a multidisciplinary, experience-based co-design approach involving clinicians, patients, and carers that guided iterative cycles of prototyping, usability testing, and real-world evaluation -- ensured continuous refinement of features and alignment with clinical practice. The resulting telehealth software solution demonstrated that our socio-technical design framework was successful in producing a secur
While palliative care is increasingly commonly delivered to hospitalized patients with serious illnesses, few studies have estimated its causal effects. Courtright et al. (2016) adopted a stepped-wedge cluster-randomized design to assess the effect of palliative care on a patient-centered outcome. The randomized intervention was a nudge to administer palliative care but did not guarantee receipt of palliative care, resulting in noncompliance. A subsequent analysis using methods suited for standard trial designs produced statistically anomalous results, as an intention-to-treat analysis found no effect while an instrumental variable analysis did (Courtright et al. 2024). This highlights the need for a more principled approach to address noncompliance in stepped-wedge designs. We provide a formal causal inference framework for the stepped-wedge design with noncompliance by introducing a relevant causal estimand and corresponding estimators and inferential procedures. Through numerical studies, we compare an array of estimators and provide practical guidance in choosing an analysis method. Finally, we apply our recommended methods to reanalyze the palliative care pragmatic trial, prod
The last few years have seen rapid progress in transitioning quantum computing from lab to industry. In healthcare and life sciences, more than 40 proof-of-concept experiments and studies have been conducted; an increasing number of these are even run on real quantum hardware. Major investments have been made with hundreds of millions of dollars already allocated towards quantum applications and hardware in medicine. In addition to pharmaceutical and life sciences uses, clinical and medical applications are now increasingly coming into the picture. This chapter focuses on three key use case areas associated with (precision) medicine, including genomics and clinical research, diagnostics, and treatments and interventions. Examples of organizations and the use cases they have been researching are given; ideas how the development of practical quantum computing applications can be further accelerated are described.
3D data from high-resolution volumetric imaging is a central resource for diagnosis and treatment in modern medicine. While the fast development of AI enhances imaging and analysis, commonly used visualization methods lag far behind. Recent research used extended reality (XR) for perceiving 3D images with visual depth perception and touch but used restrictive haptic devices. While unrestricted touch benefits volumetric data examination, implementing natural haptic interaction with XR is challenging. The research question is whether a multisensory XR application with intuitive haptic interaction adds value and should be pursued. In a study, 24 experts for biomedical images in research and medicine explored 3D medical shapes with 3 applications: a multisensory virtual reality (VR) prototype using haptic gloves, a simple VR prototype using controllers, and a standard PC application. Results of standardized questionnaires showed no significant differences between all application types regarding usability and no significant difference between both VR applications regarding presence. Participants agreed to statements that VR visualizations provide better depth information, using the hand
In its broadest definition, systems biology is the application of a `systems' way of thinking about and doing cell biology. By implication, this also invites us to consider a systems approach in the context of medicine and the treatment of disease. In particular, the idea that systems biology can form the basis of a personalised, predictive medicine will require that much closer attention is paid to the analytic properties of the feedback loops which will be set up by a personalised approach to healthcare. To emphasize the role that feedback theory will play in understanding personalised medicine, we use the term feedback medicine to describe the issues outlined.In these notes we consider feedback and control systems concepts applied to two important themes in medical systems biology - personalised medicine and combinatorial intervention. In particular, we formulate a feedback control interpretation for the administration of medicine, and relate them to various forms of medical treatment.
Retrieval shapes how language models access and ground knowledge in retrieval-augmented generation (RAG). In historical research, the target is often not an arbitrary relevant passage, but the exact record for a specific regnal month, where temporal consistency matters as much as topical relevance. This is especially challenging for Classical Chinese annals, where time is expressed through terse, implicit, non-Gregorian reign phrases that must be interpreted from surrounding context, so semantically plausible evidence can still be temporally invalid. We introduce \textbf{ChunQiuTR}, a time-keyed retrieval benchmark built from the \textit{Spring and Autumn Annals} and its exegetical tradition. ChunQiuTR organizes records by month-level reign keys and includes chrono-near confounders that mirror realistic retrieval failures. We further propose \textbf{CTD} (Calendrical Temporal Dual-encoder), a time-aware dual-encoder that combines Fourier-based absolute calendrical context with relative offset biasing. Experiments show consistent gains over strong semantic dual-encoder baselines under time-keyed evaluation, supporting retrieval-time temporal consistency as a key prerequisite for fai
Phosphorus (P) is considered to be one of the key elements for life, making it an important element to look for in the abundance analysis of spectra of stellar systems. Yet, there exists only a handful of spectroscopic studies to estimate the P abundances and investigate its trend across a range of metallicities. We have observed full HK band spectra at a spectral resolving power of R=45,000 with IGRINS instrument. Abundances are determined using SME in combination with 1D MARCS stellar atmosphere models. The investigated sample of stars have reliable stellar parameters estimated using optical FIES spectra (GILD; Jönsson et al. in prep.). In order to determine the P abundances from the 16482.92 Angstrom P line, we take special care of the CO($ν=7-4$) blend. We determine the C, N, O abundances from atomic carbon and a range of non-blended molecular lines (CO, CN, OH) which are aplenty in the H band region of K giant stars, assuring an appropriate modelling of the blending CO($ν=7-4$) line. We present [P/Fe] vs [Fe/H] trend for 38 K giant stars in the metallicity range of -1.2 dex $<$ [Fe/H] $<$ 0.4 dex. We find that our trend matches well with the compiled literature sample of
Objectives: Prior event rate ratio (PERR) is a method shown to perform well in mitigating confounding in real-world evidence research but it depends on several model assumptions. We propose an analytic strategy to correct biases arising from violation of two model assumptions, namely, population homogeneity and event-independent treatment. Study Design and Setting: We reformulate PERR estimation by embedding a treatment-by-period interaction term in an analytic model for recurrent event data, which is robust to bias arising from unobserved heterogeneity. Based on this model, we propose a set of methods to examine the presence of event-dependent treatment and to correct the resultant bias. We evaluate the proposed methods by simulation and apply it to a de-identified dataset on palliative care and emergency department visits in patients with advanced cancer. Results: Simulation results showed that the proposed method could mitigate the two sources of bias in PERR. In the palliative care study, analysis by the Cox model showed that patients who had started receiving palliative care had higher incidence of emergency department visits than their match controls (hazard ratio 3.31; 95% c
A historical record of a seismic tsunami is identified in the Irish annals for October 720 (all dates herein CE). It is contained in the earliest stratum of the annals, which survives in the form of a handful of iterated scribal copies of the foundational text of the tradition. This was compiled by the contemporary observation of noteworthy events for the years c. 563-740 at the monastery of Iona in the Scottish Hebrides. The 720 event is close outside the 2$σ$ radiocarbon terminus ante quem date ranges for tsunami deposits identified at Dury Voe (530-660) and Basta Voe (430-650) in the Shetland Isles, and is identified as a candidate progenitor. The possibility of the existence of associated tsunami deposits in Scotland or on the north coast of Ireland is highlighted.
Effective patient-provider communication is crucial in clinical care, directly impacting patient outcomes and quality of life. Traditional evaluation methods, such as human ratings, patient feedback, and provider self-assessments, are often limited by high costs and scalability issues. Although existing natural language processing (NLP) techniques show promise, they struggle with the nuances of clinical communication and require sensitive clinical data for training, reducing their effectiveness in real-world applications. Emerging large language models (LLMs) offer a new approach to assessing complex communication metrics, with the potential to advance the field through integration into passive sensing and just-in-time intervention systems. This study explores LLMs as evaluators of palliative care communication quality, leveraging their linguistic, in-context learning, and reasoning capabilities. Specifically, using simulated scripts crafted and labeled by healthcare professionals, we test proprietary models (e.g., GPT-4) and fine-tune open-source LLMs (e.g., LLaMA2) with a synthetic dataset generated by GPT-4 to evaluate clinical conversations, to identify key metrics such as `und
Eccentric planets may spend a significant portion of their orbits at large distances from their host stars, where low temperatures can cause atmospheric CO2 to condense out onto the surface, similar to the polar ice caps on Mars. The radiative effects on the climates of these planets throughout their orbits would depend on the wavelength-dependent albedo of surface CO2 ice that may accumulate at or near apoastron and vary according to the spectral energy distribution of the host star. To explore these possible effects, we incorporated a CO2 ice-albedo parameterization into a one-dimensional energy balance climate model. With the inclusion of this parameterization, our simulations demonstrated that F-dwarf planets require 29% more orbit-averaged flux to thaw out of global water ice cover compared with simulations that solely use a traditional pure water ice-albedo parameterization. When no eccentricity is assumed, and host stars are varied, F-dwarf planets with higher bond albedos relative to their M-dwarf planet counterparts require 30% more orbit-averaged flux to exit a water snowball state. Additionally, the intense heat experienced at periastron aids eccentric planets in exiting
Effective communication in serious illness and palliative care is essential but often under-taught due to limited access to training resources like standardized patients. We present PAL (Palliative Assisted Learning-bot), a conversational system that simulates emotionally nuanced patient interactions and delivers structured feedback grounded in an existing empathy-based framework. PAL supports text and voice modalities and is designed to scaffold clinical skill-building through repeated, low-cost practice. Through a mixed-methods study with 17 U.S. medical trainees and clinicians, we explore user engagement with PAL, evaluate usability, and examine design tensions around modalities, emotional realism, and feedback delivery. Participants found PAL helpful for reflection and skill refinement, though some noted limitations in emotional authenticity and the adaptability of feedback. We contribute: (1) empirical evidence that large language models can support palliative communication training; (2) design insights for modality-aware, emotionally sensitive simulation tools; and (3) implications for systems that support emotional labor, cooperative learning, and AI-augmented training in hi