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In this paper, we introduce a novel pipeline for predicting chemotherapy response in pediatric brain tumors that are not amenable to complete surgical resection, using pre-treatment magnetic resonance imaging combined with clinical information. Our method integrates a state-of-the-art pediatric brain tumor segmentation framework with radiomic feature extraction and clinical data through an ensemble of a Swin UNETR encoder and XGBoost classifier. The segmentation model delineates four tumor subregions enhancing tumor, non-enhancing tumor, cystic component and edema which are used to extract imaging biomarkers and generate predictive features. The Swin UNETR network classifies the response to treatment directly from these segmented MRI scans, while XGBoost predicts response using radiomics and clinical variables including legal sex, ethnicity, race, age at event (in days), molecular subtype, tumor locations, initial surgery status, metastatic status, metastasis location, chemotherapy type, protocol name and chemotherapy agents. The ensemble output provides a non-invasive estimate of chemotherapy response in this historically challenging population characterized by lower progression-f
Chemotherapy for cancer treatment is costly and accompanied by severe side effects, highlighting the critical need for early prediction of treatment outcomes to improve patient management and informed decision-making. Predictive models for chemotherapy outcomes using real-world data face challenges, including the absence of explicit phenotypes and treatment outcome labels such as cancer progression and toxicity. This study addresses these challenges by employing Large Language Models (LLMs) and ontology-based techniques for phenotypes and outcome label extraction from patient notes. We focused on one of the most frequently occurring cancers, breast cancer, due to its high prevalence and significant variability in patient response to treatment, making it a critical area for improving predictive modeling. The dataset included features such as vitals, demographics, staging, biomarkers, and performance scales. Drug regimens and their combinations were extracted from the chemotherapy plans in the EMR data and shortlisted based on NCCN guidelines, verified with NIH standards, and analyzed through survival modeling. The proposed approach significantly reduced phenotypes sparsity and impro
This study presents a mathematical model that captures the interactions among tumor cells, healthy cells, and immune cells in a tumor-bearing host, with a specific focus on breast cancer. Incorporating the concept of delay, the model consists of four differential equations to analyze these cellular dynamics. The findings demonstrate the superior efficacy of metronomic chemotherapy compared to the maximum tolerated dose (MTD) method and underscore the necessity of adjunct therapies. Oscillatory tumor cell dynamics revealed by the model highlight the challenges of achieving complete tumor elimination through chemotherapy alone. Sensitivity analysis confirms the robustness of the model, particularly under metronomic treatment protocols, aligning with experimental observations regarding metronomic-to-MTD dosage ratios. Furthermore, the results emphasize the importance of synergistic effects from combination therapies. This biologically consistent framework provides valuable insights into tumor-immune interactions and offers a foundation for optimizing therapeutic strategies in cancer treatment.
Ovarian cancer is the most lethal gynecologic malignancy: around 60% of patients are diagnosed at an advanced stage, with an associated 5-year survival rate of about 30%. Early identification of non-responders to neoadjuvant chemotherapy remains a key unmet need, as it could prevent ineffective therapy and avoid delays in optimal surgical management. This work proposes a non-invasive deep learning framework to predict neoadjuvant chemotherapy response from pre-treatment contrast-enhanced CT by leveraging automatically derived 3D lesion masks. The approach encodes axial slices with a partially fine-tuned pretrained image encoder and aggregates slice-level representations into a volumetric embedding through an attention-based module. Training combines classification loss with supervised contrastive regularization and hard-negative mining to improve separation between ambiguous responders and non-responders. The method was developed on a retrospective single-center cohort from the European Institute of Oncology (Milan, IT), including 280 eligible patients (147 responder, 133 non-responder). On the test cohort, the model achieved a ROC-AUC of 0.73 (95% CI: 0.58-0.86) and an F1-score of
Objectives: High-grade serous ovarian carcinoma (HGSOC) is typically diagnosed at an advanced stage with extensive peritoneal metastases, making treatment challenging. Neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NACT) is often used to reduce tumor burden before surgery, but about 40% of patients show limited response. Radiomics, combined with machine learning (ML), offers a promising non-invasive method for predicting NACT response by analyzing computed tomography (CT) imaging data. This study aimed to improve response prediction in HGSOC patients undergoing NACT by integration different feature selection methods. Materials and methods: A framework for selecting robust radiomics features was introduced by employing an automated randomisation algorithm to mimic inter-observer variability, ensuring a balance between feature robustness and prediction accuracy. Four response metrics were used: chemotherapy response score (CRS), RECIST, volume reduction (VolR), and diameter reduction (DiaR). Lesions in different anatomical sites were studied. Pre- and post-NACT CT scans were used for feature extraction and model training on one cohort, and an independent cohort was used for external testing. Results: The
Chemotherapy dose optimization can be formulated as a dynamic treatment regime, requiring sequential decisions under uncertainty that must balance tumor suppression against toxicity. However, most reinforcement learning approaches assume full observability of the patient state, a condition rarely met in clinical practice. We investigate whether memory-augmented policies can improve chemotherapy control under partial observability. To this end, we employ a recurrent TD3-based approach with separate LSTM actor-critic networks and evaluate it on the AhnChemoEnv benchmark from DTR-Bench, considering both off-policy and on-policy recurrent architectures against feed-forward TD3 and Soft Actor-Critic. Pharmacokinetic and pharmacodynamic variability are held fixed to isolate hidden-state uncertainty and observation noise and to avoid confounding effects from inter-patient variability. Across ten random seeds, recurrence yields modest benefit under full observability but substantially stronger and more stable performance under partial observability, with more consistent tumor suppression and improved normal-cell preservation. These findings indicate that memory-based policies are particula
Purpose. High-grade serous ovarian carcinoma (HGSOC) is characterized by pronounced biological and spatial heterogeneity and is frequently diagnosed at an advanced stage. Neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NACT) followed by delayed primary surgery is commonly employed in patients unsuitable for primary cytoreduction. The Chemotherapy Response Score (CRS) is a validated histopathological biomarker of response to NACT, but it is only available postoperatively. In this study, we investigate whether pre-treatment computed tomography (CT) imaging and clinical data can be used to predict CRS as an investigational decision-support adjunct to inform multidisciplinary team (MDT) discussions regarding expected treatment response. Methods. We proposed a 2.5D multimodal deep learning framework that processes lesion-dense omental slices using a pre-trained Vision Transformer encoder and integrates the resulting visual representations with clinical variables through an intermediate fusion module to predict CRS. Results. Our multimodal model, integrating imaging and clinical data, achieved a ROC-AUC of 0.95 alongside 95% accuracy and 80% precision on the internal test cohort (IEO, n=41 patients). On the e
The success of chemotherapy depends on the effectiveness of the drug delivery strategy and its ability to destroy cancer cells while minimizing damage to healthy tissues. The main objective of this work is to minimize the density of invasive tumour cells by controlling the chemotherapeutic agents. For this, we address an optimal control problem with mixed control and state constraints. The concentration of chemotherapeutic drugs is represented as a control variable. We use a nonlinear reaction-diffusion equation to describe the effect of drugs on the progression of invasive tumours. We start with the mathematical analysis of this initial boundary value problem. Then, we formulate the optimal control problem, explain the role of different constraints, and derive first-order necessary conditions of optimality. Finally, in order to demonstrate the efficiency of the proposed strategy, numerical simulations in the case of the eradication of malignant lung tumours, are presented and analysed.
We continue our study of a model for cancer treatment, constructed in Dutta et. al., 2025, by adding Virotherapy to the Chemotherapy and Immunotherapy studied there. It is a dynamical system model for the spread of cancer in healthy tissue. It allows computer experiments of various combinations of the three modalities, which cannot be performed in the laboratory or experimentally. The novelty is the addition of Virotherapy. The analysis shows that the model solutions exist, are bounded, and nonnegative on each finite time interval, thus biologically feasible. A time-stepping algorithm is constructed and implemented, and computer simulations are presented. The simulations show the development of the disease under various treatment options, including a baseline case without treatment, cases for each of the three treatments separately, and some combinations of the three treatments. These simulations indicate that combinations of treatments are more effective. However, we do not consider any limitation or incompatibilities of the joint application of the three modalities, that may exist in practice. Once validated in the field, the model can be used to design treatment schedules of com
Intracellular chromophores (e.g., NADH and FAD) play a central role in regulation of cellular metabolism. Though autofluorescence has been extensively used for label-free mapping of chromophores inside a cell, its sensitivity and molecular specificity are constrained by the low quantum yield and the fluorescence spectral overlap. Here, we address these challenges by employing a photothermal approach to measure the optical absorption of chromophores rather than its autofluorescence. By combining near-infrared pump and visible probe beams, our two-photon photothermal (2PPT) microscope exploits localized thermal transients generated through two-photon absorption, enabling detection of chromophore-specific signatures beyond the reach of autofluorescence. We demonstrate sub-micromolar limit of detection for the metabolic coenzymes NADH and FAD of 0.87 uM and 0.99 uM, respectively. Such high sensitivity enables differentiating the influence of different mitochondria shapes on metabolism activity. Importantly, the fluorescence crosstalk-free 2PPT can identify the biomolecular source of contrast from cellular mitochondria in a label-free manner based on spectroscopy. 2PPT microscopy is uti
The ChemoTimelines shared task benchmarks methods for constructing timelines of systemic anticancer treatment from electronic health records of cancer patients. This paper describes our methods, results, and findings for subtask 2 -- generating patient chemotherapy timelines from raw clinical notes. We evaluated strategies involving chain-of-thought thinking, supervised fine-tuning, direct preference optimization, and dictionary-based lookup to improve timeline extraction. All of our approaches followed a two-step workflow, wherein an LLM first extracted chemotherapy events from individual clinical notes, and then an algorithm normalized and aggregated events into patient-level timelines. Each specific method differed in how the associated LLM was utilized and trained. Multiple approaches yielded competitive performances on the test set leaderboard, with fine-tuned Qwen3-14B achieving the best official score of 0.678. Our results and analyses could provide useful insights for future attempts on this task as well as the design of similar tasks.
Doctors are well aware that sometimes cancer treatments not only fail, but even work backwards, i.e. they make the treated tumor grow. In this work we present a mathematical perspective on this paradox in the case of chemotherapy, by studying a minimally parameterized mathematical model for the system composed of the tumor and the surrounding vasculature. To this end, we will use a system of two well-established nonlinear ordinary differential equations, which incorporates the cytotoxic (via the Norton-Simon hypothesis) and antiangiogenic effects of chemotherapy. Finally, we provide two theoretical ways to avoid these anomalies.
The move towards personalized treatment and digital twins for cancer therapy requires a complete understanding of the mathematical models upon which these optimized simulation-based strategies are formulated. This study investigates the influence of mathematical model selection on the optimization of chemotherapy and radiotherapy protocols. By examining three chemotherapy models (log-kill, Norton-Simon, and Emax), and three radiotherapy models (linear-quadratic, proliferation saturation index, and continuous death-rate), we identify similarities and significant differences in the optimized protocols. We demonstrate how the assumptions built into the model formulations heavily influence optimal treatment dosing and sequencing, potentially leading to contradictory results. Further, we demonstrate how different model forms influence predictions in the adaptive therapy setting. As treatment decisions increasingly rely on simulation-based strategies, unexamined model assumptions can introduce bias, leading to model-dependent recommendations that may not be generalizable. This study highlights the importance of basing model selection on a full analysis of bias, sensitivity, practical par
The evolutionary and ecological dynamics of tumors under immune responses and therapeutic interventions pose major challenges to long-term treatment success. Although treatment may initially achieve short-term disease control, resistant cancer cell subpopulations often arise, leading to relapse with more aggressive and treatment-resistant forms of the disease. Here, we develop and analyze mathematical models describing the interactions among effector cells, chemo-resistant tumor cells, and immuno-resistant tumor cells under distinct immune-evasion strategies. The models incorporate competition and cooperation between resistant and sensitive tumor subpopulations. We identify threshold conditions governing tumor persistence, elimination, and phenotype dominance under varying therapeutic intensities. These findings provide a theoretical framework for designing targeted and combination therapies and offer insights into strategies for mitigating the treatment resistance.
We study the dynamics and interactions between combined chemotherapy and chimeric antigen receptor (CAR-T) cells therapy and malignant gliomas (MG). MG is one of the most common primary brain tumor, with high resistance to therapy and unfavorable prognosis. Here, we develop a mathematical model that describes the application of chemo- and CAR-T cell therapies and the dynamics of sensitive and resistant populations of tumor cells. This model is a five-dimensional dynamical system with impulsive inputs corresponding to clinical administration of chemo- and immunotherapy. We provide a proof of non-negativeness of solutions of the proposed model for non-negative initial data. We demonstrate that if we apply both therapies only once, the trajectories will be attracted to an invariant surface that corresponds to the tumor carrying capacity. On the other hand, if we apply both treatments constantly, we find regions of the parameter where the tumor is eradicated. Moreover, we study applications of different combinations of the above treatments in order to find an optimal combination at the population level. To this aim, we generate a population of $10^{4}$ virtual patients with the model p
Neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) is a common therapy option before the main surgery for breast cancer. Response to NAC is monitored using follow-up dynamic contrast-enhanced magnetic resonance imaging (DCE-MRI). Accurate prediction of NAC response helps with treatment planning. Here, we adopt maximum intensity projection images from DCE-MRI to generate post-treatment images (i.e., 3 or 12 weeks after NAC) from pre-treatment images leveraging the emerging diffusion model. We introduce prompt tuning to account for the known clinical factors affecting response to NAC. Our model performed better than other generative models in image quality metrics. Our model was better at generating images that reflected changes in tumor size according to pCR compared to other models. Ablation study confirmed the design choices of our method. Our study has the potential to help with precision medicine.
We present a mathematical model of the evolutionary dynamics of a metastatic tumour under chemotherapy, comprising non-local partial differential equations for the phenotype-structured cell populations in the primary tumour and its metastasis. These equations are coupled with a physiologically-based pharmacokinetic model of drug delivery, implementing a realistic delivery schedule. The model is carefully calibrated from the literature, focusing on BRAF-mutated melanoma treated with Dabrafenib as a case study. By means of long-time asymptotic analysis, global sensitivity analysis and numerical simulations, we explore the impact of cell migration from the primary to the metastatic site, physiological aspects of the tumour sites and drug dose on the development of drug resistance and treatment efficacy. Our findings provide a possible explanation for empirical evidence indicating that chemotherapy may foster metastatic spread and that metastatic sites may be less impacted by chemotherapy.
Rationale and Objectives: Early prediction of pathological complete response (pCR) can facilitate personalized treatment for breast cancer patients. To improve prediction accuracy at the early time point of neoadjuvant chemotherapy, we proposed a two-stage dual-task learning strategy to train a deep neural network for early prediction of pCR using early-treatment magnetic resonance images. Methods: We developed and validated the two-stage dual-task learning strategy using the dataset from the national-wide, multi-institutional I-SPY2 clinical trial, which included dynamic contrast-enhanced magnetic resonance images acquired at three time points: pretreatment (T0), after 3 weeks (T1), and after 12 weeks of treatment (T2). First, we trained a convolutional long short-term memory network to predict pCR and extract the latent space image features at T2. At the second stage, we trained a dual-task network to simultaneously predict pCR and the image features at T2 using images from T0 and T1. This allowed us to predict pCR earlier without using images from T2. Results: The conventional single-stage single-task strategy gave an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC
The number of new cancer cases is expected to increase by about 50% in the next 20 years, and the need for chemotherapy treatments will increase accordingly. Chemotherapy treatments are usually performed in outpatient cancer centers where patients affected by different types of tumors are treated. The treatment delivery must be carefully planned to optimize the use of limited resources, such as drugs, medical and nursing staff, consultation and exam rooms, and chairs and beds for the drug infusion. Planning and scheduling chemotherapy treatments involve different problems at different decision levels. In this work, we focus on the patient chemotherapy multi-appointment planning and scheduling problem at an operational level, namely the problem of determining the day and starting time of the oncologist visit and drug infusion for a set of patients to be scheduled along a short-term planning horizon. We use a per-pathology paradigm, where the days of the week in which patients can be treated, depending on their pathology, are known. We consider different metrics and formulate the problem as a multi-objective optimization problem tackled by sequentially solving three problems in a lex
Cancer patients may undergo lengthy and painful chemotherapy treatments, comprising several successive regimens or plans. Treatment inefficacy and other adverse events can lead to discontinuation (or failure) of these plans, or prematurely changing them, which results in a significant amount of physical, financial, and emotional toxicity to the patients and their families. In this work, we build treatment failure models based on the Real World Evidence (RWE) gathered from patients' profiles available in our oncology EMR/EHR system. We also describe our feature engineering pipeline, experimental methods, and valuable insights obtained about treatment failures from trained models. We report our findings on five primary cancer types with the most frequent treatment failures (or discontinuations) to build unique and novel feature vectors from the clinical notes, diagnoses, and medications that are available in our oncology EMR. After following a novel three axes - performance, complexity and explainability - design exploration framework, boosted random forests are selected because they provide a baseline accuracy of 80% and an F1 score of 75%, with reduced model complexity, thus making