Drones are becoming popular as a complementary system for \ac{ems}. Although several pilot studies and flight trials have shown the feasibility of drone-assisted \ac{aed} delivery, running a full-scale operational network remains challenging due to high capital expenditure and environmental uncertainties. In this paper, we formulate a reliability-informed Bayesian learning framework for designing drone-assisted \ac{aed} delivery networks under environmental and operational uncertainty. We propose our objective function based on the survival probability of \ac{ohca} patients to identify the ideal locations of drone stations. Moreover, we consider the coverage of existing \ac{ems} infrastructure to improve the response reliability in remote areas. We illustrate our proposed method using geographically referenced cardiac arrest data from Scotland. The result shows how environmental variability and spatial demand patterns influence optimal drone station placement across urban and rural regions. In addition, we assess the robustness of the network and evaluate its economic viability using a cost-effectiveness analysis based on expected \ac{qaly}. The findings suggest that drone-assisted
We present GS-BrainText, a curated dataset of 8,511 brain radiology reports from the Generation Scotland cohort, of which 2,431 are annotated for 24 brain disease phenotypes. This multi-site dataset spans five Scottish NHS health boards and includes broad age representation (mean age 58, median age 53), making it uniquely valuable for developing and evaluating generalisable clinical natural language processing (NLP) algorithms and tools. Expert annotations were performed by a multidisciplinary clinical team using an annotation schema, with 10-100% double annotation per NHS health board and rigorous quality assurance. Benchmark evaluation using EdIE-R, an existing rule-based NLP system developed in conjunction with the annotation schema, revealed some performance variation across health boards (F1: 86.13-98.13), phenotypes (F1: 22.22-100) and age groups (F1: 87.01-98.13), highlighting critical challenges in generalisation of NLP tools. The GS-BrainText dataset addresses a significant gap in available UK clinical text resources and provides a valuable resource for the study of linguistic variation, diagnostic uncertainty expression and the impact of data characteristics on NLP system
The transition to electric mobility hinges on maximising aggregate adoption while also facilitating equitable access. This study examines whether the 'charging divide' between households with and without off-street parking reflects a genuine infrastructure constraint or a by-product of socio-economic disparity. Moving beyond conventional predictive models, we apply a probabilistic causal framework to a nationally representative dataset of Scottish households, enabling estimation of policy interventions while explicitly neutralising the confounding effect of other causal factors. The results reveal a structural hierarchy in the EV adoption process. Private off-street parking functions as a conversion catalyst: enabling access to home-charging increases the probability of EV ownership from 3.3% to 5.6% (a 70% relative, 2.3 percentage point absolute increase). However, this effect primarily accelerates households already economically positioned to purchase an EV rather than recruiting new entrants. By contrast, household income operates as the fundamental affordability ceiling. A causal contrast between lower- and higher-income strata, shows a reduction in market non-participation by
Road traffic accidents remain a major public health challenge worldwide, with urbanisation and population density identified as key factors influencing risk. This study analyses monthly accident data from 2009 to 2023 across 632 parliamentary constituencies in England, Wales, and Scotland, using an area-normalised approach based on population density. Segmented power law models consistently identified breakpoints separating sublinear rural from superlinear urban scaling behaviours. Seasonal variation in scaling exponents was pronounced in rural regions but less evident in urban ones. Fourier-based cross-spectral analysis of yearly cycles revealed systematic phase shifts: rural exponents lagged pre-exponential factors by 4.5 months, while urban exponents were 2.7 months out of phase, producing a 5.3 month shift between rural and urban exponents. These findings highlight the importance of pre-exponentials-defined as the expected density of accidents at unit population density-as comparable descaled metrics, revealing both long-term national declines and recurring seasonal peaks. Notably, the phase offsets suggest structurally distinct causes of rural and urban accident risk, with urb
The eighteenth century saw a flourishing of scientific and philosophical thought throughout Scotland, known as the Scottish Enlightenment. The accomplishments of prominent male figures of this period have been well documented in all disciplines. However, studies of women's experiences are relatively sparse. This paper partially corrects this oversight by drawing together evidence for women's participation in mathematics in Scotland between 1730 and 1850. In considering women across all social classes, it argues for a broad definition of 'mathematics' that includes arithmetic and astronomy, and assesses women's opportunities for engagement under three headings: education, family, and sociability. It concludes that certain elements of Scottish Enlightenment culture promoted wider participation by women in mathematical activities than has previously been recognized, but that such participation continued to be circumscribed by societal views of the role of women within family formation.
Despite recent advancements in image generation, diffusion models still remain largely underexplored in Earth Observation. In this paper we show that state-of-the-art pretrained diffusion models can be conditioned on cartographic data to generate realistic satellite images. We provide two large datasets of paired OpenStreetMap images and satellite views over the region of Mainland Scotland and the Central Belt. We train a ControlNet model and qualitatively evaluate the results, demonstrating that both image quality and map fidelity are possible. Finally, we provide some insights on the opportunities and challenges of applying these models for remote sensing. Our model weights and code for creating the dataset are publicly available at https://github.com/miquel-espinosa/map-sat.
Ranked-choice voting anomalies such as monotonicity paradoxes have been extensively studied through creating hypothetical examples and generating elections under various models of voter behavior. However, very few real-world examples of such voting paradoxes have been found and analyzed. We investigate two single-transferable vote elections from Scotland that demonstrate upward monotonicity, downward monotonicity, no-show, and committee size paradoxes. These paradoxes are rarely observed in real-world elections, and this article is the first case study of such paradoxes in multiwinner elections.
GLAM organisations have been exploring the benefits of publishing their digital collections in a wide variety of forms since the 2000s. Many institutions, and in particular libraries, have adopted the Semantic Web and Linked Data principles to their main catalogues. Recent advances in technology and innovative approaches concerning the reuse of the digital collections by means of computational access have paved the way for the creation of Labs within GLAM organisations. In this work, we present a framework to transform the datasets made available by GLAM organisations under open licenses into LOD. The framework has been applied to three metadata datasets made available by the Data Foundry at the National Library of Scotland. The results of this work are publicly available and can be applied to other domains such as digital humanities and data science.
In this note, we apply Transition Path Theory (TPT) from Markov chains to shed light on the problem of Iceland-Scotland Overflow Water (ISOW) equatorward export. A recent analysis of observed trajectories of submerged floats demanded revision of the traditional abyssal circulation theory, which postulates that ISOW should steadily flow along a deep boundary current (DBC) around the subpolar North Atlantic prior to exiting it. The TPT analyses carried out here allow to focus the attention on the portions of flow from the origin of ISOW to the region where ISOW exits the subpolar North Atlantic and suggest that insufficient sampling may be biasing the aforementioned demand. The analyses, appropriately adapted to represent a continuous input of ISOW, are carried out on three time-homogeneous Markov chains modeling the ISOW flow. One is constructed using a high number of simulated trajectories homogeneously covering the flow domain. The other two use much fewer trajectories which heterogeneously cover the domain. The trajectories in the latter two chains are observed trajectories or simulated trajectories subsampled at the observed frequency. While the densely sampled chain supports a
Land Carbon verification has long been a challenge in the carbon credit market. Carbon verification methods currently available are expensive, and may generate low-quality credit. Scalable and accurate remote sensing techniques enable new approaches to monitor changes in Above Ground Biomass (AGB) and Soil Organic Carbon (SOC). The majority of state-of-the-art research employs remote sensing on AGB and SOC separately, although some studies indicate a positive correlation between the two. We intend to combine the two domains in our research to improve state-of-the-art total carbon estimation and to provide insight into the voluntary carbon trading market. We begin by establishing baseline model in our study area in Scotland, using state-of-the-art methodologies in the SOC and AGB domains. The effects of feature engineering techniques such as variance inflation factor and feature selection on machine learning models are then investigated. This is extended by combining predictor variables from the two domains. Finally, we leverage the possible correlation between AGB and SOC to establish a relationship between the two and propose novel models in an attempt outperform the state-of-the-
The worldwide refugee crisis is a major current challenge, affecting the health and education of millions of families with children due to displacement. Despite the various challenges and risks of migration practices, numerous refugee families have access to interactive technologies during these processes. The aim of this ongoing study is to explore the role of technologies in the transitions of refugee families in Scotland. Based on Tudge's ecocultural theory, a qualitative case-study approach has been adopted. Semi-structured interviews have been conducted with volunteers who work with refugee families in a big city in Scotland, and proxy observations of young children were facilitated remotely by their refugee parents. A preliminary overview of the participants' insights of the use and role of technology for transitioning into a new culture is provided here.
In recent years participatory budgeting (PB) in Scotland has grown from a handful of community-led processes to a movement supported by local and national government. This is epitomized by an agreement between the Scottish Government and the Convention of Scottish Local Authorities (COSLA) that at least 1% of local authority budgets will be subject to PB. This ongoing research paper explores the challenges that emerge from this 'scaling up' or 'mainstreaming' across the 32 local authorities that make up Scotland. The main objective is to evaluate local authority use of the digital platform Consul, which applies Natural Language Processing (NLP) to address these challenges. This project adopts a qualitative longitudinal design with interviews, observations of PB processes, and analysis of the digital platform data. Thematic analysis is employed to capture the major issues and themes which emerge. Longitudinal analysis then explores how these evolve over time. The potential for 32 live study sites provides a unique opportunity to explore discrete political and social contexts which materialize and allow for a deeper dive into the challenges and issues that may exist, something a wide
In 2016 the British government acknowledged the importance of reducing antimicrobial prescriptions in order to avoid the long-term harmful effects of over-prescription. Prescription needs are highly dependent on factors that have a spatio-temporal component, such as the presence of a bacterial outbreak and the population density. In this context, density-based clustering algorithms are flexible tools to analyse data by searching for group structures. The case of Scotland presents an additional challenge due to the diversity of population densities under the area of study. We present here a spatio-temporal clustering approach for highlighting the behaviour of general practitioners (GPs) in Scotland. Particularly, we consider the density-based spatial clustering of applications with noise algorithm (DBSCAN) due to its ability to include both spatial and temporal data, as well as its flexibility to be extended with further variables. We extend this approach into two directions. For the temporal analysis, we use dynamic time warping to measure the dissimilarity between warped and shifted time series. For the spatial component, we introduce a new way of weighting spatial distances with
Faced with the 2020 SARS-CoV2 epidemic, public health officials have been seeking models that could be used to predict not only the number of new cases but also the levels of hospitalisation, critical care and deaths. In this paper we present a stochastic compartmental model capable of real-time monitoring and forecasting of the pandemic incorporating multiple streams of real-world data, reported cases, testing intensity, deaths, hospitalisations and critical care occupancy. Model parameters are estimated via a Bayesian particle filtering technique. The model successfully tracks the key variables (reported cases, critical care and deaths) throughout the two waves (March-June and September-November 2020) of the COVID-19 outbreak in Scotland. The model hospitalisation predictions in Summer 2020 are consistently lower than the recorded data, but consistent with the change to the reporting criteria by the Health Protection Scotland on 15th September. Most parameter estimates were constant over the two waves, but the infection rate and consequently the reproductive number decrease in the later stages of the first wave and increase again from July 2020. The death rates are initially high
This paper proposes a method of creating synthetic data (SD) that will have two important advantages for the user compared to other methods currently available. The first is transparency; unlike other methods, the person in receipt of the SD will know which of the relationships between variables in the original data will be approximately maintained in the SD. The second is a guarantee that the SD is derived from information that has already been judged to be free of disclosure risk. This is achieved by first defining and calculating the margins where relationships between variables will be maintained in the SD. Each margin will then be subject to statistical disclosure control (SDC) to the standards defined by the data custodian, e.g. top-coding and bottom-coding, combination of small categories and/or modifying small counts. Further adjustment of the curated margins is advised by coarsening all counts in the table to multiples of the disclosure limit. These adjusted margins are used to create SD by the Iterative Proportional Fitting (IPF) algorithm. The practical steps involved in creating such SD are illustrated using data from the 1901 Census of Scotland.
Accurate forecasting of electric vehicle (EV) charging demand is critical for grid management and infrastructure planning. Yet the field continues to rely on legacy benchmarks; such as the Palo Alto (2020) dataset; that fail to reflect the scale and behavioral diversity of modern charging networks. To address this, we introduce a novel large-scale longitudinal dataset collected across Scotland (2022 2025), which release it as an open benchmark for the community. Building on this dataset, we formulate EV charging demand as a spatio-temporal latent Gaussian field and perform approximate Bayesian inference via Integrated Nested Laplace Approximation (INLA). The resulting model jointly captures spatial dependence, temporal dynamics, and covariate effects within a unified proba bilistic framework. On station-level forecasting tasks, our approach achieves competitive predictive accuracy against machine learning baselines, while additionally providing principled uncertainty quan tification and interpretable spatial and temporal decompositions properties that are essential for risk-aware infrastructure planning.
In this very personal workography, I relate my 40-year experiences as a researcher and educator in and around Artificial Intelligence (AI), more specifically Natural Language Processing. I describe how curiosity, and the circumstances of the day, led me to work in both industry and academia, and in various countries, including The Netherlands (Amsterdam, Eindhoven, and Utrecht), the USA (Stanford), England (Brighton), Scotland (Aberdeen), and China (Beijing and Harbin). People and anecdotes play a large role in my story; the history of AI forms its backdrop. I focus on things that might be of interest to (even) younger colleagues, given the choices they face in their own work and life at a time when AI is finally emerging from the shadows.
Scottish mathematician Colin MacLaurin (1698-1746) is best known for his A Treatise of Fluxions (1742), An Account of Sir Isaac Newton's Philosophical Discoveries (1748), and the appellation for a type of power series. However, it is hardly known that in 1714 at the age of sixteen MacLaurin penned a short manuscript wherein he tried to apply Newtonian principles to morality, in an approach to mathematization that suggests strong continuities with earlier centuries. De viribus mentium bonipetis (On the good-seeking forces of minds) remained unpublished and hidden in the papers of the Colin Campbell Collection at the University of Edinburgh for over 250 years; it was only uncovered at the end of the twentieth century. De viribus provides a remarkable glimpse into how the young MacLaurin dealt with early Newtonianism, the tenets of the Church of Scotland, and the nascent interface between science and religion just prior to the dawn of the Scottish Enlightenment. Perhaps the most intriguing aspect of De viribus is the personal snippets related to Scottish Presbyterian morality that MacLaurin interjects throughout his mathematical discussion. These are often vague and oblique, and one m
We study the effects of academic rank using data on the entire population of children enrolled in primary schools in Aberdeen, Scotland, in 1962. Exploiting quasi-random variation in peer group composition, we estimate the causal impact of rank on academic performance, noncognitive development, parental investment, and long-term outcomes. Higher rank improves achievement on the high-stakes eleven-plus examination and strengthens internalizing skills (traits related to self-concept and confidence), suggesting that rank effects operate primarily through students' self-perception. Using a follow-up survey conducted forty years later, we find that rank raises educational attainment, particularly for girls, while long-term income gains emerge only among boys. The gender gap in long-run effects likely reflects historical barriers to women's access to higher education and skilled employment during this period.