The M8.8 Kamchatka earthquake on July 29, 2025 was one of the largest in the first quarter of the 21st century. It deserves a thorough analysis including the preparation process. A smaller M7.4 earthquake occurred on July 20 with its epicenter within the confidence ellipse for the July 29 event. The aftershock sequence of the July 20 earthquake and the evolution of seismicity within the Kamchatka Peninsula region during 10 days period before the July 29 event may provide important information on the earthquake preparation and initiation processes. The CTBTO's International Monitoring System is one of the most sensitive global seismic networks comprising high-resolution array stations with enhanced sensitivity relative to three-component stations at the same locations. The International Data Centre of the CTBTO processes IMS data automatically and interactively to create a Reviewed Event Bulletin (REB), which serves as a source of information for the International Seismological Centre. Waveform cross-correlation (WCC) allows for additional detection capabilities to the IMS data and IDC processing when repeated seismicity is analyzed. The aftershock sequence of the July 20 earthquake
Markarian 501, a BL Lac object well-known as a high energy gamma-ray source, has exhibited several epochs of very high energy (VHE) gamma-ray flaring events when its synchrotron peak frequency shifted above $10^{17}$ Hz, a signature of extreme behavior. From July 16 to July 31, 2014 such flaring events were observed for 15 days by various telescopes. On July 19 (MJD 56857.98), the X-ray outburst from the source was at its highest and on the same day an intriguing narrow peak-like feature around 3 TeV was observed by the MAGIC telescopes, a feature inconsistent with standard interpretations. Using the well-known two-zone photohadronic model, we study these VHE gamma-ray spectra on a day-by-day basis and offer explanation. Our two-zone photohadronic scenario shows that, on MJD 56857.98, the peak-like feature appears at a cutoff energy of $E^c_γ=3.18$ TeV. Below this energy the VHE spectrum increases slowly and is in high emission state. However, for $E^c_γ\, > 3.18$ TeV, the spectrum falls faster, resulting in a mild peak-like feature, not prominent enough as claimed by the MAGIC collaboration.
News media serves a crucial role in disseminating information and shaping public perception, especially during periods of political unrest. Using over 50,0000 YouTube comments on news coverage from July 16 to August 6, 2024, we investigate the emotional dynamics and evolving discourse of public perception during the July 2024 Student-People's Uprising in Bangladesh. Through integrated analyses of sentiment, emotion, topic, lexical discourse, timeline progression, sentiment shifts, and allotaxonometry, we show how negative sentiment dominated during the movement. We find a negative correlation between comment happiness and number of protest deaths $(r = -0.45,\p = 0.00)$. Using an ousiometer to measure essential meaning, we find public responses reflect a landscape of power, aggression, and danger, alongside persistent expressions of hope, moral conviction, and empowerment through goodnesses. Topic discourse progressed during the movement, with peaks in `Political Conflict', `Media Flow', and `Student Violence' during crisis surges, while topics like `Social Resistance' and `Digital Movement' persisted amid repression. Sentiment shifts reveal that after the second internet blackout,
The 2024 July Revolution in Bangladesh represents a landmark event in the study of civil resistance. This study investigates the central paradox of the success of this student-led civilian uprising: how state violence, intended to quell dissent, ultimately fueled the movement's victory. We employ a mixed-methods approach. First, we develop a qualitative narrative of the conflict's timeline to generate specific, testable hypotheses. Then, using a disaggregated, event-level dataset, we employ a multi-method quantitative analysis to dissect the complex relationship between repression and mobilisation. We provide a framework to analyse explosive modern uprisings like the July Revolution. Initial pooled regression models highlight the crucial role of protest momentum in sustaining the movement. To isolate causal effects, we specify a Two-Way Fixed Effects panel model, which provides robust evidence for a direct and statistically significant local suppression backfire effect. Our Vector Autoregression (VAR) analysis provides clear visual evidence of an immediate, nationwide mobilisation in response to increased lethal violence. We further demonstrate that this effect was non-linear. A st
We report on the final two days of a multiwavelength campaign of Sgr A* observing in the radio, submillimeter, infrared, and X-ray bands in July 2019. Sgr A* was remarkably active, showing multiple flaring events across the electromagnetic spectrum. We detect a transient $\sim35$-minute periodicity feature in Spitzer Space Telescope light curves on 21 July 2019. Time-delayed emission was detected in ALMA light curves, suggesting a hotspot within the accretion flow on a stable orbit. On the same night, we observe a decreased flux in the submillimeter light curve following an X-ray flare detected by the Chandra X-ray Observatory and model the feature with an adiabatically expanding synchrotron hotspot occulting the accretion flow. The event is produced by a plasma $0.55~R_{\text{S}}$ in radius with an electron spectrum $p=2.84$. It is threaded by a $\sim130$ Gauss magnetic field and expands at $0.6\%$ the speed of light. Finally, we reveal an unambiguous flare in the infrared, submillimeter, and radio, demonstrating that the variable emission is intrinsically linked. We jointly fit the radio and submillimeter light curves using an adiabatically expanding synchrotron hotspot and find
Predicting the large-scale eruptions from the solar corona and their propagation through interplanetary space remains an outstanding challenge in solar- and helio-physics research. In this article, we describe three dimensional magnetohydrodynamic simulations of the inner heliosphere leading up to and including the extreme interplanetary coronal mass ejection (ICME) of 23 July 2012, developed using the code PLUTO. The simulations are driven using the output of coronal models for Carrington rotations 2125 and 2126 and, given the uncertainties in the initial conditions, are able to reproduce an event of comparable magnitude to the 23 July ICME, with similar velocity and density profiles at 1 au. The launch-time of this event is then varied with regards to an initial 19 July ICME and the effects of solar wind preconditioning are found to be significant for an event of this magnitude and to decrease over a time-window consistent with the ballistic refilling of the depleted heliospheric sector. These results indicate that the 23 July ICME was mostly unaffected by events prior, but would have travelled even faster had it erupted closer in time to the 19 July event where it would have exp
The backside coronal mass ejection (CME) of 2012 July 23 had a short Sun to Earth shock transit time (18.5 hours). The associated solar energetic particle (SEP) event had a >10 MeV proton flux peaking at ~5000 pfu, and the energetic storm particle (ESP) event was an order of magnitude larger, making it the most intense event in the space era at these energies. By a detailed analysis of the CME, shock, and SEP characteristics, we find that the July 23 event is consistent with a high-energy SEP event (accelerating particles to GeV energies). The time of maximum and fluence spectra in the range 10-100 MeV were very hard, similar to those of ground level enhancement (GLE) events. We found a hierarchical relationship between the CME initial speeds and the fluence spectral indices: CMEs with low initial speeds had SEP events with the softest spectra, while those with highest initial speeds had SEP events with the hardest spectra. CMEs attaining intermediate speeds result in moderately hard spectra. The July 23 event was in the group of hard-spectrum events. During the July 23 event, the shock speed (>2000 km s^-1), the initial acceleration (~1.70 km s^-2), and the shock formation h
Flux-rope-based magnetohydrodynamic modeling of coronal mass ejections (CMEs) is a promising tool for the prediction of the CME arrival time and magnetic field at Earth. In this work, we introduce a constant-turn flux rope model and use it to simulate the 12-July-2012 16:48 CME in the inner heliosphere. We constrain the initial parameters of this CME using the graduated cylindrical shell (GCS) model and the reconnected flux in post-eruption arcades. We correctly reproduce all the magnetic field components of the CME at Earth, with an arrival time error of approximately 1 hour. We further estimate the average subjective uncertainties in the GCS fittings, by comparing the GCS parameters of 56 CMEs reported in multiple studies and catalogs. We determined that the GCS estimates of the CME latitude, longitude, tilt, and speed have average uncertainties of 5.74 degrees, 11.23 degrees, 24.71 degrees, and 11.4% respectively. Using these, we have created 77 ensemble members for the 12-July-2012 CME. We found that 55% of our ensemble members correctly reproduce the sign of the magnetic field components at Earth. We also determined that the uncertainties in GCS fitting can widen the CME arriv
Contributions of the participants of the 24th International Workshop "What Comes Beyond the Standard Models", July 5 to July 11, 2021, Bled, Slovenia, presented either with the arxiv number of each contribution or with the webside of the Proceedings published by DMFA, ZALOlZNISTVO LJUBLJANA, DECEMBER 2021.
We report observations of Neptune made in H-(1.4-1.8 μm) and K'-(2.0-2.4 μm) bands on 14 and 16 July 2009 from the 10-m W.M. Keck II Telescope using the near-infrared camera NIRC2 coupled to the Adaptive Optics (AO) system. We track the positions of 54 bright atmospheric features over a few hours to derive their zonal and latitudinal velocities, and perform radiative transfer modeling to measure the cloud-top pressures of 50 features seen simultaneously in both bands. We observe one South Polar Feature (SPF) on 14 July and three SPFs on 16 July at ~65 deg S. The SPFs observed on both nights are different features, consistent with the high variability of Neptune's storms. There is significant dispersion in Neptune's zonal wind velocities about the smooth Voyager wind profile fit of Sromovsky et al., Icarus 105, 140 (1993), much greater than the upper limit we expect from vertical wind shear, with the largest dispersion seen at equatorial and southern mid-latitudes. Comparison of feature pressures vs. residuals in zonal velocity from the smooth Voyager wind profile also directly reveals the dominance of mechanisms over vertical wind shear in causing dispersion in the zonal winds. Ver
In July 2007, the blazar 3C 454.3 underwent a flare in the optical, reaching R~13 on July 19. Then the optical flux decreased by one magnitude, being R~14 when the source was detected by the gamma-ray satellite AGILE, that observed the source on July 24-30. At the same time, the Swift satellite performed a series of snapshots. We can construct the simultaneous spectral energy distribution using optical, UV, X-ray and gamma-ray data. These shows that an increased gamma-ray flux is accompanied by a weaker optical/X-ray flux with respect to the flare observed in the Spring 2005 by INTEGRAL and Swift. This confirms earlier suggestions about the behaviour of the jet of 3C 454.3.
The contribution contains the preface to the Proceedings to the 23rd International Workshop "What Comes Beyond the Standard Models", July 04 -- July 12, 2020, Bled, Slovenia, [Virtual Workshop -- July 6.--10. 2020], Volume 1: Invited Talks and Volume 2: Further Talks And Scientific Debuts, published in Bled workshops in physics, Vol.21, No. 1 and 2, DMFA-Založnistvo, Ljubljana, Dec. 2020, links to (most of) the published contributions, section (by M.Yu. Khlopov) on VIA and virtual conference at Bled 2020, and two poems by Astri Kleppe.
We present geometrical and kinematical analysis of Moreton waves and EIT waves observed on June 3, 2012 and Moreton waves observed on July 6, 2012. The Moreton waves were recorded in H$α$ images of Global Oscillation Network Group (GONG) archive and EIT waves obtained from SDO/AIA observations, especially in 193 nm channel. The observed wave of June 3 has angular span of about $70^{\circ}$ with a broad wave front associated to NOAA active region 11496. It was found that the speed of the wave that started propagating at 17.53 UT is between 950 to 1500 km/s. Related to this wave occurrence, there was solar type II and III radio bursts. The speed of the EIT in this respect about 247 km/sec. On the other hand, the wave of July 6 may be associated to X1.1 class flare that occurred at 23.01 UT around the 11514 active region. From the kinematical analysis, the wave propagated with the initial velocity of about 1180 km/s which is in agreement with coronal shock velocity derived from type II radio burst observation, $v\sim1200$ km/s.
The contribution contains the preface to the Proceedings to the 22nd Workshop "What Comes Beyond the Standard Models", Bled, July 06 - July 14, 2019, published in Bled workshops in physics, Vol.20, No. 2, DMFA-Založnistvo, Ljubljana, Dec. 2019, links to (most of) the published contributions and section (by M.Yu. Khlopov) on VIA at Bled 2019.
We present a comprehensive study of a possible $α$-Cygnid meteor shower. Based on visual and telescopic observations made by Polish observers we estimate basic parameters of the stream. Activity of $α$-Cygnids lasts from around June 30 to July 31 with clear maximum near July 18 (solar longitude $λ_\odot=116.5^\circ$). Maximal Zenithal Hourly Rates (ZHRs) are equal to $3.6\pm1.2$. The structure of the radiant analyzed by {\sc radiant} software is most compact for geocentric velocity of the events equal to 41 km/s, and for the drift of the radiant (in units $^\circ$/day) equal to $Δα=+0.6$ $Δδ=+0.2$. Center of the radiant for the moment of maximum is $α=302.5^\circ$ $δ=+46.3^\circ$.We derive population index $r$ equal to $2.55\pm0.14$ from magnitude distribution of 738 possible members of the stream. Comparing the velocity distributions of 754 possible $α$-Cygnids and 4339 sporadic events by $χ^2$ and Kolmogorov-Smirnov tests we conclude that both distributions are different with probability very close to 1.0. Telescopic observations strictly confirm the results obtained from visual observations. The smallest values of $χ^2$ parameter we obtained for the geocentric velocity equal to
Simultaneous HESS/CHANDRA/optical observations were performed on the BL Lac object PKS 2155-304 in the night of July 29-30 2006, when the source underwent its second major gamma-ray outburst in Summer 2006. This event took place about 44 hours after the July 28 outburst, known for its ultrafast variability. An unprecedented 6 to 8 hours of uninterrupted coverage was achieved, with spectra and light curves measured down to 7 and 2-minute timescales, respectively. The gamma-ray flux reached a maximum of 11x the Crab flux (>400 GeV), with rise/decay timescales of ~1 hour, plus a few smaller-amplitude flares superimposed on the decaying phase. The emission in the X-ray and VHE bands is strongly correlated, both in flux and spectrum, with no evidence of lags. The VHE spectrum shows a curvature that is variable with time and stronger at higher fluxes. The huge VHE variations (22x) are only accompanied by small-amplitude X-ray and optical variations (factor 2 and 15% respectively). The source has shown for the first time in an HBL a large Compton dominance (L_C/L_S ~10) -- rapidly evolving -- and a cubic relation between VHE and X-ray flux variations, during a decaying phase. These res
The Presidential Election in Mexico of July 2012 has been the third time that PREP, Previous Electoral Results Program works. PREP gives voting outcomes based in electoral certificates of each polling station that arrive to capture centers. In previous ones, some statistical regularities had been observed, three of them were selected to make predictions and were published in \texttt{arXiv:1207.0078 [physics.soc-ph]}. Using the database made public in July 2012, two of the predictions were completely fulfilled, while, the third one was measured and confirmed using the database obtained upon request to the electoral authorities. The first two predictions confirmed by actual measures are: (ii) The Partido Revolucionario Institucional, PRI, is a sprinter and has a better performance in polling stations arriving late to capture centers during the process. (iii) Distribution of vote of this party is well described by a smooth function named a Daisy model. A Gamma distribution, but compatible with a Daisy model, fits the distribution as well. The third prediction confirms that {\it errare humanum est}, since the error distributions of all the self-consistency variables appeared as a centr
We present the last HST/STIS E140M FUV spectrum (1150-1725A) of the dwarf nova (DN) WZ Sge, obtained in July 2004, 3 years following the early superoutburst of July 2001. Single white dwarf (WD) synthetic spectral fits (log{g}=8.5) to the data indicate that the WD has a temperature T~15,000K, about ~1500K above its quiescent temperature and it is still showing the effect of the outburst. Taking into account temperature estimates of the earlier phase of the cooling, we model the cooling curve of WZ Sge, over a period of 3 years, using a stellar evolution code including accretion and the effects of compressional heating. Assuming that compressional heating alone is the source of the energy released during the cooling phase, we find that (1) the mass of the white dwarf must be quite large (~1.0 Msun); and (2) the mass accretion rate must have a time-averaged (over 52 days of outburst) value of the order of 1.E-8 Msun/yr or larger. The outburst mass accretion rate derived from these compressional heating models is larger than the rates estimated from optical observations and from a FUV spectral fit by up to one order of magnitude. This implies that during the cooling phase the energy r
The partial lunar eclipse of July 16, 2019, left the lower part of the Moon illuminated at its maximum phase in Padova (Italy). Occulting it behind far buildings it was possible to compare the light of Jupiter and Saturn de-focused to the same diameter of the Moon with the light from the umbra. The luminosity of the eclipsed Moon as well as the Danjon index have been estimated and compared with ephemerides. January 21, 2019, July 27, 2019 and September 28, 2015 total lunar eclipses data are also published.
Large Language Models (LLMs) are trained with safety alignment to prevent generating malicious content. Although some attacks have highlighted vulnerabilities in these safety-aligned LLMs, they typically have limitations, such as necessitating access to the model weights or the generation process. Since proprietary models through API-calling do not grant users such permissions, these attacks find it challenging to compromise them. In this paper, we propose Jailbreaking Using LLM Introspection (JULI), which jailbreaks LLMs by manipulating the token log probabilities, using a tiny plug-in block, BiasNet. JULI relies solely on the knowledge of the target LLM's predicted token log probabilities. It can effectively jailbreak API-calling LLMs under a black-box setting and knowing only top-$5$ token log probabilities. Our approach demonstrates superior effectiveness, outperforming existing state-of-the-art (SOTA) approaches across multiple metrics.