Variation in emergency department attendances and acute hospital admissions for ambulatory emergency care: a retrospective analysis of routinely collected NHS data across England.

内容摘要

Rising demand for emergency care in England is a continuing challenge driven by population ageing and increasing multimorbidity. Ambulatory emergency care (AEC) refers to the provision of same-day acute care for patients who might otherwise require admission. However, the contribution of AEC conditions to demand remains unclear. This study aimed to examine the proportion and nature of patients attending emergency departments (ED) with AEC-related conditions and to describe variation between hospitals in attendances and emergency admissions for AEC conditions. A retrospective study of routine data from 21 acute hospitals in England, including adult ED attendances and emergency admissions between 1 November 2021 and 31 October 2022. We used a federated approach to ensure data security, applying established AEC definitions to explore variation by age, socioeconomic status and length of stay. Primary: Proportion of (i) ED attendances and (ii) emergency admissions for AEC conditions. Secondary: (i) Proportion of patients presenting at ED with an AEC condition who were admitted; (ii) proportion of emergency admissions with an AEC condition with a length of stay <2&#x2009;days. We analysed 1&#x2009;513&#x2009;480 attendances (median per hospital: 73 125) and 660&#x2009;105 admissions (median per hospital: 30 425). AEC accounted for 29.6% of attendances and 40.8% of admissions, with substantial inter-hospital variability. Patients aged &#x2265;65 were more likely to present with an AEC, while patients from deprived areas had lower rates. Among AEC-related admissions, 49.3% had a stay of less than 2&#x2009;days. Nearly one-third of attendances and two-fifths of admissions were for conditions potentially manageable in AEC or community settings. Variation between hospitals suggests local factors, including service configuration and primary care access, may influence avoidable acute care use. These findings suggest a need for a more nuanced understanding of the drivers behind AEC, or SDEC Services, to better understand their impact on reducing hospital admissions. Analysing these patterns may inform interventions to reduce avoidable hospital utilisation. Further research is needed to identify drivers of variation and to develop scalable strategies for prevention.